Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 348
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
A SMALL PART OF WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM 525 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MCALESTER
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 340...WW 341...WW
342...WW 343...WW 344...WW 345...WW 346...WW 347...
DISCUSSION...MASS OF CONVECTION WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS OVER N
CENTRAL OK WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH
MULTIPLE STORM MERGERS AND UPSCALE GROWTH LIKELY THIS EVENING.
INITIALLY...THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL. LATER THIS
EVENING...MCS/BOW ECHO FORMATION WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS RIDE
ESEWD ALONG A STALLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS E/NE OK INTO WRN AR.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE AN INCREASING CONCERN...THOUGH A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS INTERACT WITH THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 348 TORNADO AR OK 232225Z - 240500Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25ENE BVO/BARTLESVILLE OK/ - 35SW MLC/MCALESTER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /24SW OSW - 29SW MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 36909387 34509455 34509787 36909731
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 348 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 348
VALID 240140Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE END
TO 30 W TUL TO 15 ENE TUL TO 30 SSW GMJ TO 25 SSE GMJ TO 30 SSW
UMN.
..DIAL..05/24/11
ATTN...WFO...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-131-143-240240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-021-037-061-077-079-091-101-107-111-121-135-143-145-
240240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CREEK
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG SEQUOYAH
TULSA WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 348
VALID 232330Z - 240040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC033-047-131-143-240040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-021-037-061-077-079-091-097-101-107-111-113-117-121-131-
135-143-145-147-240040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CREEK
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
PAWNEE PITTSBURG ROGERS
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.