Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 345
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALVA
OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF ALTUS OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 338...WW 339...WW
340...WW 341...WW 342...WW 343...WW 344...
DISCUSSION...TCU/INCIPIENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS IN PROGRESS ALONG
DRYLINE IN WRN OK SW OF CSM. MODIFICATION OF 19Z OUN SOUNDING FOR
AIR MASS IMMEDIATELY E OF DRYLINE SUGGESTS THAT ENVIRONMENT IS
NEARLY UNCAPPED WITH MLCAPE OF 4000-5000 J/KG. WHILE PASSAGE OF
SHORT WAVE TROUGH TO THE NE IS NOT PARTICULARLY WELL-TIMED...STRONG
DIABATIC HEATING W OF DRYLINE SHOULD SERVE TO FOSTER AT LEAST
ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.
INITIALLY...VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH MATURE
SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE LOCALLY HIGHER T-TD SPREADS AND WEAK LOW-LEVEL
FLOW. THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR STRENGTHENS AND LCL HEIGHTS LOWER.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 345 TORNADO OK TX 231930Z - 240300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NE AVK/ALVA OK/ - 40SSE LTS/ALTUS OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /46NNW END - 22WNW SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 37029726 34119794 34110005 37029944
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 345 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 345
VALID 240140Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE FSI TO
30 NNW FSI TO 45 NE CSM TO 40 SSW AVK TO 25 SW AVK TO 15 N END TO
15 ENE END TO 25 E END.
..DIAL..05/24/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 345
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-027-047-051-073-081-083-087-093-109-119-125-137-
240240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND GARFIELD GRADY
KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR OKLAHOMA
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE STEPHENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 345
VALID 240120Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE FSI TO
25 NNW FSI TO 45 NE CSM TO 40 SSW AVK TO 25 SW AVK TO 30 SE P28.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 913
..DIAL..05/24/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 345
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-011-015-017-027-047-051-053-071-073-081-083-087-093-103-
109-119-125-137-240240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CLEVELAND GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT KAY
KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-077-240240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER CLAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 345
VALID 232325Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW CSM
TO 35 ESE GAG TO 30 WSW P28.
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 345
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-047-051-053-055-057-
065-067-071-073-075-081-083-087-093-103-109-119-125-137-141-149-
151-240040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GRADY
GRANT GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KAY
KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODS
$$
TXC009-023-077-155-197-275-485-487-240040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
FOARD HARDEMAN KNOX
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 345
VALID 232230Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE CDS
TO 35 ESE GAG TO 35 WSW P28.
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 345
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-047-051-053-055-057-065-
067-071-073-075-083-093-103-137-141-149-151-232340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER DEWEY
GARFIELD GRADY GRANT
GREER HARMON JACKSON
JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODS
$$
TXC009-023-077-155-197-275-485-487-232340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
FOARD HARDEMAN KNOX
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 345
VALID 232035Z - 232140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W CSM TO
30 ESE GAG TO 35 WNW AVK.
..HART..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 345
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-047-051-053-055-057-065-
067-071-073-075-083-093-103-137-141-149-151-232140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER DEWEY
GARFIELD GRADY GRANT
GREER HARMON JACKSON
JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA WOODS
$$
TXC155-197-485-487-232140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FOARD HARDEMAN WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (90%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.