Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 344
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM EDT MON MAY 23 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF
RICHMOND VIRGINIA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF GREENSBORO NORTH
CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 338...WW 339...WW
340...WW 341...WW 342...WW 343...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM ALONG THE
MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN VA/NC. THESE STORMS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD THIS
AFTERNOON INTO A MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. OTHER STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO FORM IN A FEW HOURS ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS OVER
SOUTHEAST VA AND NORTHEAST NC...WHERE A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL WILL ALSO BE PRESENT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 344 SEVERE TSTM NC VA 231915Z - 240300Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NW RIC/RICHMOND VA/ - 50SSW GSO/GREENSBORO NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /38S CSN - 35ENE CLT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 37997602 35417841 35418212 37997988
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 344 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 344
VALID 240140Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW GSB TO
20 W RWI TO 10 WNW RZZ TO 40 ESE RIC.
..GARNER..05/24/11
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 344
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC015-029-041-053-065-073-083-091-127-143-195-240240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERTIE CAMDEN CHOWAN
CURRITUCK EDGECOMBE GATES
HALIFAX HERTFORD NASH
PERQUIMANS WILSON
$$
VAC089-093-199-550-620-650-700-735-740-800-810-830-240240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY ISLE OF WIGHT YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE FRANKLIN HAMPTON
NEWPORT NEWS POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-ANZ633-240240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
AMZ130
ANZ633
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 344
VALID 240030Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW GSB TO
35 E DAN TO 30 ESE LYH TO 10 SSE CHO.
..GARNER..05/24/11
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 344
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC015-029-041-053-065-073-083-091-127-131-143-195-240140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERTIE CAMDEN CHOWAN
CURRITUCK EDGECOMBE GATES
HALIFAX HERTFORD NASH
NORTHAMPTON PERQUIMANS WILSON
$$
VAC007-025-033-036-041-049-053-057-065-073-075-081-085-087-089-
093-095-097-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-127-133-135-145-147-149-
159-175-181-183-193-199-550-570-595-620-650-670-700-730-735-740-
760-800-810-830-240140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA BRUNSWICK CAROLINE
CHARLES CITY CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND
DINWIDDIE ESSEX FLUVANNA
GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND GREENSVILLE
HANOVER HENRICO HENRY
ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN
KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUISA
LUNENBURG MATHEWS MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND
NOTTOWAY POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS EMPORIA
FRANKLIN HAMPTON HOPEWELL
NEWPORT NEWS PETERSBURG POQUOSON
PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-ANZ633-240140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
AMZ130
ANZ633
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 344
VALID 232325Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N CLT TO
30 SSE ROA TO 10 WSW CHO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 907
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 344
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-033-037-057-063-065-067-069-077-081-083-127-131-135-145-
151-181-183-185-195-240040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE CASWELL CHATHAM
DAVIDSON DURHAM EDGECOMBE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GRANVILLE
GUILFORD HALIFAX NASH
NORTHAMPTON ORANGE PERSON
RANDOLPH VANCE WAKE
WARREN WILSON
$$
VAC007-011-025-029-031-033-036-037-041-049-053-057-065-073-075-
081-083-085-087-089-093-095-097-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-127-
133-135-143-145-147-149-159-175-181-183-193-199-570-590-595-620-
650-670-700-730-735-760-830-240040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA APPOMATTOX BRUNSWICK
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE
CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD
CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX
FLUVANNA GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND
GREENSVILLE HALIFAX HANOVER
HENRICO HENRY ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUISA LUNENBURG
MATHEWS MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX
NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE EMPORIA
FRANKLIN HAMPTON HOPEWELL
NEWPORT NEWS PETERSBURG POQUOSON
RICHMOND WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 344
VALID 232225Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW CLT
TO 40 WNW DAN TO 10 WSW CHO.
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 344
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-033-037-057-059-063-065-067-069-077-081-083-127-131-135-
145-151-159-181-183-185-195-232340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE CASWELL CHATHAM
DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM
EDGECOMBE FORSYTH FRANKLIN
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HALIFAX
NASH NORTHAMPTON ORANGE
PERSON RANDOLPH ROWAN
VANCE WAKE WARREN
WILSON
$$
VAC007-011-025-029-031-033-036-037-041-049-053-057-065-073-075-
081-083-085-087-089-093-095-097-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-127-
133-135-143-145-147-149-159-175-181-183-193-199-570-590-595-620-
650-670-700-730-735-760-830-232340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA APPOMATTOX BRUNSWICK
BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE
CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD
CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX
FLUVANNA GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND
GREENSVILLE HALIFAX HANOVER
HENRICO HENRY ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUISA LUNENBURG
MATHEWS MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX
NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE EMPORIA
FRANKLIN HAMPTON HOPEWELL
NEWPORT NEWS PETERSBURG POQUOSON
RICHMOND WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 344
VALID 232135Z - 232240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 344
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-011-023-027-033-035-037-057-059-063-065-067-069-077-
081-083-097-111-121-127-131-135-145-151-157-159-169-181-183-185-
195-199-232240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER AVERY
BURKE CALDWELL CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM DAVIDSON
DAVIE DURHAM EDGECOMBE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GRANVILLE
GUILFORD HALIFAX IREDELL
MCDOWELL MITCHELL NASH
NORTHAMPTON ORANGE PERSON
RANDOLPH ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
STOKES VANCE WAKE
WARREN WILSON YANCEY
$$
VAC007-009-011-019-025-029-031-033-036-037-041-049-053-057-065-
067-073-075-081-083-085-087-089-093-095-097-101-103-109-111-115-
117-119-127-133-135-141-143-145-147-149-159-163-175-181-183-193-
199-515-530-570-590-595-620-650-670-678-680-690-700-730-735-760-
830-232240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX
BEDFORD BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CAROLINE CHARLES CITY
CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND
DINWIDDIE ESSEX FLUVANNA
FRANKLIN GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND
GREENSVILLE HALIFAX HANOVER
HENRICO HENRY ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUISA LUNENBURG
MATHEWS MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX
NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY
PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN
PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND
ROCKBRIDGE SOUTHAMPTON SURRY
SUSSEX WESTMORELAND YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BUENA VISTA COLONIAL HEIGHTS
DANVILLE EMPORIA FRANKLIN
HAMPTON HOPEWELL LEXINGTON
LYNCHBURG MARTINSVILLE NEWPORT NEWS
PETERSBURG POQUOSON RICHMOND
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 344
VALID 232030Z - 232140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HART..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 344
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-005-009-011-023-027-033-035-037-057-059-063-065-067-
069-077-081-083-097-111-121-127-131-135-145-151-157-159-169-171-
181-183-185-189-193-195-197-199-232140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY
ASHE AVERY BURKE
CALDWELL CASWELL CATAWBA
CHATHAM DAVIDSON DAVIE
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GRANVILLE GUILFORD
HALIFAX IREDELL MCDOWELL
MITCHELL NASH NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
ROCKINGHAM ROWAN STOKES
SURRY VANCE WAKE
WARREN WATAUGA WILKES
WILSON YADKIN YANCEY
$$
VAC005-007-009-011-017-019-023-025-029-031-033-035-036-037-041-
045-049-053-057-063-065-067-073-075-077-081-083-085-087-089-093-
095-097-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-121-127-133-135-141-143-145-
147-149-155-159-161-163-175-181-183-193-197-199-515-530-570-580-
590-595-620-640-650-670-678-680-690-700-730-735-750-760-770-775-
830-232140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHANY AMELIA AMHERST
APPOMATTOX BATH BEDFORD
BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CAROLINE CARROLL
CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD
CRAIG CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
ESSEX FLOYD FLUVANNA
FRANKLIN GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND
GRAYSON GREENSVILLE HALIFAX
HANOVER HENRICO HENRY
ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN
KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUISA
LUNENBURG MATHEWS MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX MONTGOMERY NEW KENT
NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY PATRICK
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE PULASKI RICHMOND
ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
WYTHE YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BUENA VISTA COLONIAL HEIGHTS
COVINGTON DANVILLE EMPORIA
FRANKLIN GALAX HAMPTON
HOPEWELL LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG
MARTINSVILLE NEWPORT NEWS PETERSBURG
POQUOSON RADFORD RICHMOND
ROANOKE SALEM WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 344
VALID 231935Z - 232040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 895
..HART..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 344
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-005-009-011-023-027-033-035-037-057-059-063-065-067-
069-077-081-083-097-111-121-127-131-135-145-151-157-159-169-171-
181-183-185-189-193-195-197-199-232040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY
ASHE AVERY BURKE
CALDWELL CASWELL CATAWBA
CHATHAM DAVIDSON DAVIE
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GRANVILLE GUILFORD
HALIFAX IREDELL MCDOWELL
MITCHELL NASH NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
ROCKINGHAM ROWAN STOKES
SURRY VANCE WAKE
WARREN WATAUGA WILKES
WILSON YADKIN YANCEY
$$
VAC005-007-009-011-017-019-023-025-029-031-033-035-036-037-041-
045-049-053-057-063-065-067-073-075-077-081-083-085-087-089-093-
095-097-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-121-127-133-135-141-143-145-
147-149-155-159-161-163-175-181-183-193-197-199-515-530-570-580-
590-595-620-640-650-670-678-680-690-700-730-735-750-760-770-775-
830-232040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHANY AMELIA AMHERST
APPOMATTOX BATH BEDFORD
BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CAROLINE CARROLL
CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD
CRAIG CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
ESSEX FLOYD FLUVANNA
FRANKLIN GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND
GRAYSON GREENSVILLE HALIFAX
HANOVER HENRICO HENRY
ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN
KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUISA
LUNENBURG MATHEWS MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX MONTGOMERY NEW KENT
NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY PATRICK
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE PULASKI RICHMOND
ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
WYTHE YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BUENA VISTA COLONIAL HEIGHTS
COVINGTON DANVILLE EMPORIA
FRANKLIN GALAX HAMPTON
HOPEWELL LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG
MARTINSVILLE NEWPORT NEWS PETERSBURG
POQUOSON RADFORD RICHMOND
ROANOKE SALEM WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.