Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 341
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ILLINOIS
CENTRAL INDIANA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1255 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DECATUR
ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 337...WW 338...WW
339...WW 340...
DISCUSSION...BOW ECHO NEAR STL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD THIS
AFTERNOON AT 45-55 KT. DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS ACROSS WW AREA IS
WARMING/DESTABILIZING WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED
WITH 35-40 KT OF DEEP WLY SHEAR...SETUP WILL FAVOR A CONTINUATION OF
MCS WITH ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE ALONG COLD
FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE W/NW.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26045.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 341 SEVERE TSTM IL IN 231755Z - 240100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35SE IND/INDIANAPOLIS IN/ - 35WSW DEC/DECATUR IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /37SE IND - 29WSW DEC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26045.
LAT...LON 38418581 38688948 40588948 40298581
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 341 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 341
VALID 232315Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N SDF TO
20 ESE IND TO 30 WNW MIE.
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 341
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC031-035-059-065-079-095-135-139-145-240040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR DELAWARE HANCOCK
HENRY JENNINGS MADISON
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 341
VALID 232220Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW EVV TO
20 NW BMG TO 25 E LAF.
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 341
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-011-013-015-023-027-031-035-055-057-059-063-065-067-071-
079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-109-119-135-139-145-159-
232340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CLINTON DAVIESS
DECATUR DELAWARE GREENE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HENDRICKS
HENRY HOWARD JACKSON
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARTIN MONROE MORGAN
OWEN RANDOLPH RUSH
SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 341
VALID 232140Z - 232240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N EVV TO
15 NNE DNV.
..GARNER..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 341
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-011-013-015-021-023-027-031-035-045-055-057-059-063-065-
067-071-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-107-109-119-121-133-135-
139-145-153-157-159-165-167-171-232240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DECATUR DELAWARE
FOUNTAIN GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JENNINGS
JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE
MADISON MARION MARTIN
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
VERMILLION VIGO WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 341
VALID 232030Z - 232140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW EVV
TO 20 ESE MTO TO 10 ENE BMI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 897
..HART..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 341
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-041-045-049-183-232140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK DOUGLAS
EDGAR EFFINGHAM VERMILION
$$
INC005-011-013-015-021-023-027-031-035-045-055-057-059-063-065-
067-071-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-107-109-119-121-133-135-
139-145-153-157-159-165-167-171-232140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DECATUR DELAWARE
FOUNTAIN GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JENNINGS
JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE
MADISON MARION MARTIN
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
VERMILLION VIGO WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 341
VALID 231930Z - 232040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E SLO TO
30 SW MTO TO 10 ENE SPI.
..HART..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 341
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-039-041-045-049-079-101-115-139-147-
159-173-183-232040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR
EFFINGHAM JASPER LAWRENCE
MACON MOULTRIE PIATT
RICHLAND SHELBY VERMILION
$$
INC005-011-013-015-021-023-027-031-035-045-055-057-059-063-065-
067-071-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-107-109-119-121-133-135-
139-145-153-157-159-165-167-171-232040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DECATUR DELAWARE
FOUNTAIN GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JENNINGS
JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE
MADISON MARION MARTIN
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
VERMILLION VIGO WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.