Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 339
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1000 AM UNTIL
500 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST OF
SHERMAN TEXAS TO 65 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF CORSICANA TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 337...WW 338...
DISCUSSION...ELEVATED TSTMS HAVE RAPIDLY DEVELOPED W OF THE
DALLAS-FT. WORTH AREA APPARENTLY IN CONJUNCTION WITH A MIDLEVEL
IMPULSE TRANSLATING ACROSS THE AREA. 12Z FWD SOUNDING SUGGESTS THAT
THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY ROOTED ABOVE THE CAP WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY MUCAPE OF 3000-3500 J/KG AND AROUND 30 KT OF
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR. THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THE STORMS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28020.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 339 SEVERE TSTM TX 231500Z - 232200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15E GYI/SHERMAN TX/ - 65WSW CRS/CORSICANA TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /48SE ADM - 8W ACT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
LAT...LON 33729537 31659640 31659844 33729744
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 339 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 339
VALID 232025Z - 232140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CRS TO
15 NNW DAL TO 15 W GYI.
..HART..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 339
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC085-119-147-181-223-231-257-277-379-397-467-232140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLIN DELTA FANNIN
GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT
KAUFMAN LAMAR RAINS
ROCKWALL VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 339
VALID 231930Z - 232040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE CRS
TO 15 NNW DAL TO 15 W GYI.
..HART..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 339
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC085-119-147-181-223-231-257-277-379-397-467-232040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLIN DELTA FANNIN
GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT
KAUFMAN LAMAR RAINS
ROCKWALL VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 339
VALID 231855Z - 231940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CRS TO
15 NNW DAL TO 15 W GYI.
..HART..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 339
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC085-119-147-181-213-223-231-257-277-379-397-467-231940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLIN DELTA FANNIN
GRAYSON HENDERSON HOPKINS
HUNT KAUFMAN LAMAR
RAINS ROCKWALL VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 339
VALID 231740Z - 231840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HART..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 339
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-213-217-
221-223-231-237-251-257-277-333-337-349-363-367-379-397-425-429-
439-467-497-503-231840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MILLS MONTAGUE
NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER
RAINS ROCKWALL SOMERVELL
STEPHENS TARRANT VAN ZANDT
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.