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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 333
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME EASTERN KENTUCKY
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHEAST OHIO
WESTERN VIRGINIA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 540 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF PARKERSBURG WEST VIRGINIA TO 30 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF ASHEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION
OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 322...WW 323...WW
324...WW 325...WW 326...WW 327...WW 328...WW 329...WW 330...WW
331...WW 332...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SPREAD EASTWARD OUT
OF KY/TN INTO THE WATCH AREA. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND SUFFICIENT
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE EVENING CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 333 SEVERE TSTM KY NC OH VA WV 222140Z - 230300Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20ENE PKB/PARKERSBURG WV/ - 30SSW AVL/ASHEVILLE NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /36SSW AIR - 33NE ODF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 39458015 35028187 35028363 39458201
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 333 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 333
VALID 230240Z - 230340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW GSP TO
55 S BLF TO 20 SW MGW.
..GARNER..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC003-023-027-161-230340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BURKE CALDWELL
RUTHERFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 333
VALID 230115Z - 230240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW GSP
TO 40 SSW BLF TO 15 NNE BKW TO 25 NNE UNI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 875
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC003-005-009-023-027-161-189-193-230240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ASHE
BURKE CALDWELL RUTHERFORD
WATAUGA WILKES
$$
OHC009-115-167-230240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS MORGAN WASHINGTON
$$
VAC021-035-071-077-155-173-197-640-230240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND CARROLL GILES
GRAYSON PULASKI SMYTH
WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
GALAX
$$
WVC007-013-015-017-021-025-033-041-055-063-067-073-085-087-089-
095-101-105-107-230240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAXTON CALHOUN CLAY
DODDRIDGE GILMER GREENBRIER
HARRISON LEWIS MERCER
MONROE NICHOLAS PLEASANTS
RITCHIE ROANE SUMMERS
TYLER WEBSTER WIRT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 333
VALID 230045Z - 230140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW AND
TO 30 E TRI TO 5 N BKW TO 25 N UNI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 868
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC003-005-009-011-021-023-027-089-111-121-149-161-175-189-193-
199-230140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ASHE
AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE
CALDWELL HENDERSON MCDOWELL
MITCHELL POLK RUTHERFORD
TRANSYLVANIA WATAUGA WILKES
YANCEY
$$
OHC009-115-167-230140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS MORGAN WASHINGTON
$$
VAC021-035-071-077-155-173-197-640-230140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND CARROLL GILES
GRAYSON PULASKI SMYTH
WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
GALAX
$$
WVC007-013-015-017-021-025-033-041-055-063-067-073-085-087-089-
095-101-105-107-230140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAXTON CALHOUN CLAY
DODDRIDGE GILMER GREENBRIER
HARRISON LEWIS MERCER
MONROE NICHOLAS PLEASANTS
RITCHIE ROANE SUMMERS
TYLER WEBSTER WIRT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 333
VALID 222340Z - 230040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW AND
TO 20 NNW HSS TO 55 E JKL TO 10 SSW HTS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 868
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-089-230040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD GREENUP
$$
NCC003-005-009-011-021-023-027-087-089-099-111-115-121-149-161-
175-189-193-199-230040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ASHE
AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE
CALDWELL HAYWOOD HENDERSON
JACKSON MCDOWELL MADISON
MITCHELL POLK RUTHERFORD
TRANSYLVANIA WATAUGA WILKES
YANCEY
$$
OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-127-163-167-230040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON
LAWRENCE MEIGS MORGAN
PERRY VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
VAC021-027-035-051-071-077-155-173-185-197-640-230040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN CARROLL
DICKENSON GILES GRAYSON
PULASKI SMYTH TAZEWELL
WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
GALAX
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-035-039-041-043-045-
047-053-055-059-063-067-073-079-081-085-087-089-095-099-101-105-
107-109-230040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE
FAYETTE GILMER GREENBRIER
HARRISON JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MERCER
MINGO MONROE NICHOLAS
PLEASANTS PUTNAM RALEIGH
RITCHIE ROANE SUMMERS
TYLER WAYNE WEBSTER
WIRT WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 333
VALID 222215Z - 222340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-043-089-127-222340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD CARTER GREENUP
LAWRENCE
$$
NCC003-005-009-011-021-023-027-075-087-089-099-111-113-115-121-
149-161-173-175-189-193-199-222340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY ASHE
AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE
CALDWELL GRAHAM HAYWOOD
HENDERSON JACKSON MCDOWELL
MACON MADISON MITCHELL
POLK RUTHERFORD SWAIN
TRANSYLVANIA WATAUGA WILKES
YANCEY
$$
OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-127-163-167-222340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON
LAWRENCE MEIGS MORGAN
PERRY VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
VAC021-027-035-051-071-077-155-173-185-197-640-222340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN CARROLL
DICKENSON GILES GRAYSON
PULASKI SMYTH TAZEWELL
WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
GALAX
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-035-039-041-043-045-
047-053-055-059-063-067-073-079-081-085-087-089-095-099-101-105-
107-109-222340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE
FAYETTE GILMER GREENBRIER
HARRISON JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MERCER
MINGO MONROE NICHOLAS
PLEASANTS PUTNAM RALEIGH
RITCHIE ROANE SUMMERS
TYLER WAYNE WEBSTER
WIRT WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.