Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 329
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH OF
BROWNWOOD TEXAS TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MIDLAND TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 322...WW 323...WW
324...WW 325...WW 326...WW 327...WW 328...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED WITHIN THE
NEXT ONE TO TWO HOURS ALONG WSW-ENE ORIENTED DRYLINE SEGMENT
PARALLELING I-20...AS WELL AS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST
TEXAS. WARM SECTOR AIR MASS IS HOT AND QUITE MOIST WITH MLCAPE
VALUES UPWARDS OF 3000-4000 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH 40-45 KT OF
DEEP WLY SHEAR...SETUP WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 329 SEVERE TSTM TX 221950Z - 230300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45N BWD/BROWNWOOD TX/ - 75SSW MAF/MIDLAND TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /46E ABI - 15E FST/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 31579894 30070268 31800268 33319894
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 329 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 329
VALID 230245Z - 230340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 329
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC043-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-135-151-173-207-227-235-253-
307-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-417-431-441-443-447-451-461-
230340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREWSTER BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT ECTOR
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH MENARD MIDLAND
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TERRELL THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 329
VALID 230120Z - 230240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 329
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC043-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-135-151-173-207-227-235-253-
307-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-417-431-441-443-447-451-461-
230240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREWSTER BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT ECTOR
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH MENARD MIDLAND
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TERRELL THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 329
VALID 230040Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 870
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 329
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC043-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-135-151-173-207-227-235-253-
307-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-417-431-441-443-447-451-461-
230140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREWSTER BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT ECTOR
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH MENARD MIDLAND
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TERRELL THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 329
VALID 222335Z - 230040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 329
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC043-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-135-151-173-207-227-235-253-
307-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-417-431-441-443-447-451-461-
230040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREWSTER BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT ECTOR
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH MENARD MIDLAND
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TERRELL THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 329
VALID 222225Z - 222340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 329
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC043-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-135-151-173-207-227-235-253-
307-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-417-431-441-443-447-451-461-
222340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREWSTER BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT ECTOR
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH MENARD MIDLAND
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TERRELL THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 329
VALID 222125Z - 222240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 329
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC043-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-135-151-173-207-227-235-253-
307-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-417-431-441-443-447-451-461-
222240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREWSTER BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT ECTOR
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MCCULLOCH MENARD MIDLAND
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING TAYLOR
TERRELL THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.