Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 334
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
825 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 825 PM UNTIL
400 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF CHAMPAIGN
ILLINOIS TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF WEST PLAINS MISSOURI. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 323...WW 325...WW
326...WW 327...WW 329...WW 330...WW 332...WW 333...
DISCUSSION...EARLIER SUPERCELLS ARE NOW MERGING INTO TWO MCS/S...ONE
NEAR STL...AND ANOTHER ALONG THE SW MO/NW AR BORDER. MODERATE
INSTABILITY IS STILL PRESENT IN A CORRIDOR IN ADVANCE OF THIS
CONVECTION...W OF A MORE STABLE AIR MASS OVER SRN IL/WRN KY. GIVEN
THE ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES...INCLUDING BOWS AND
SUPERCELLS...AND SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR TO
MAINTAIN THESE STORM TYPES...A RISK FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL WILL PERSIST. THE MORE PERSISTENT TORNADO
THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS SRN MO INVOF OF A RETREATING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY NEAR THE MO/AR BORDER.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 334 TORNADO IL MO 230125Z - 230900Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30N CMI/CHAMPAIGN IL/ - 45WSW UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /51NNE DEC - 62SSE SGF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
LAT...LON 40458684 36499126 36499397 40458970
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 334 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 334
VALID 230450Z - 230540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE UMN TO
35 NNW FLP TO 20 SW UNO TO 30 NW ARG TO 20 ESE FAM TO 30 S BLV TO
25 SSE BLV TO 30 WSW MVN.
..DIAL..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 334
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC077-145-230540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JACKSON PERRY
$$
MOC009-017-023-031-035-119-153-157-181-207-209-213-223-230540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BOLLINGER BUTLER
CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER MCDONALD
OZARK PERRY RIPLEY
STODDARD STONE TANEY
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 334
VALID 230400Z - 230540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE UMN TO
40 W UNO TO 15 SSW UNO TO 35 W POF TO 10 S FAM TO 20 NNE FAM TO
15 S BLV TO 15 SW SLO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 879
..DIAL..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 334
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC027-077-121-145-157-189-230540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLINTON JACKSON MARION
PERRY RANDOLPH WASHINGTON
$$
MOC009-017-023-031-035-119-123-153-157-181-186-187-207-209-213-
223-230540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BOLLINGER BUTLER
CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER MCDONALD
MADISON OZARK PERRY
RIPLEY STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
STODDARD STONE TANEY
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 334
VALID 230240Z - 230340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE UMN TO
40 NW UNO TO 25 SSE VIH TO 50 WNW STL.
..GARNER..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 334
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC005-013-017-019-021-025-027-029-035-039-041-049-051-061-077-
083-107-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-129-133-135-137-139-143-145-
147-157-163-167-171-173-175-179-189-203-230340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOND CALHOUN CASS
CHAMPAIGN CHRISTIAN CLAY
CLINTON COLES CUMBERLAND
DE WITT DOUGLAS EFFINGHAM
FAYETTE GREENE JACKSON
JERSEY LOGAN MCLEAN
MACON MACOUPIN MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MASON
MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MOULTRIE PEORIA
PERRY PIATT RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT
SHELBY STARK TAZEWELL
WASHINGTON WOODFORD
$$
MOC009-017-023-031-035-055-065-067-071-073-091-093-099-113-119-
123-149-151-153-157-179-181-183-186-187-189-203-207-209-213-215-
219-221-223-229-510-230340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BOLLINGER BUTLER
CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER CRAWFORD
DENT DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
GASCONADE HOWELL IRON
JEFFERSON LINCOLN MCDONALD
MADISON OREGON OSAGE
OZARK PERRY REYNOLDS
RIPLEY ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS SHANNON
STODDARD STONE TANEY
TEXAS WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.