Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 322
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST IOWA
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
WESTERN WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1210 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MANKATO MINNESOTA TO 45 MILES EAST OF LA CROSSE WISCONSIN. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...
DISCUSSION...SRN FRINGE OF ELEVATED TSTMS ONGOING ACROSS SERN MN/WRN
WI MAY BECOME PROGRESSIVELY SURFACE BASED THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO
THE RAPID NWD FLUX OF 60+ F DEWPOINTS ALONG AND S OF WARM FRONT.
ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WARM AND COLD
FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE LOW MOVING FROM E-CNTRL SD TOWARD
CNTRL MN. ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW COUPLED
WITH THE MOISTENING/DESTABILIZING AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 322 TORNADO IA MN WI 221710Z - 230100Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55NW MKT/MANKATO MN/ - 45E LSE/LA CROSSE WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /26NE RWF - 32NW DLL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 45939470 45029034 42729034 43619470
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 322 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 322
VALID 230030Z - 230100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW DBQ
TO 15 NNW LNR.
WW 322 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 230100Z.
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC001-043-230100-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS GRANT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 322
VALID 222330Z - 230100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW DBQ TO
10 E LSE TO 35 SW CWA.
WW 322 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 230100Z.
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC001-023-043-057-081-103-123-230100-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CRAWFORD GRANT
JUNEAU MONROE RICHLAND
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 322
VALID 222235Z - 222340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE ALO TO
40 NE RST TO 30 ENE STC.
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-043-222340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CLAYTON
$$
MNC025-059-222340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHISAGO ISANTI
$$
WIC001-005-017-019-023-033-035-043-053-057-063-081-091-093-095-
103-107-109-119-123-222340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BARRON CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD DUNN
EAU CLAIRE GRANT JACKSON
JUNEAU LA CROSSE MONROE
PEPIN PIERCE POLK
RICHLAND RUSK ST. CROIX
TAYLOR VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 322
VALID 222145Z - 222240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE ALO
TO 25 NE RST TO 30 ENE MSP TO 25 NE STC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 858
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-043-065-191-222240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CLAYTON FAYETTE
WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC025-055-059-169-222240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHISAGO HOUSTON ISANTI
WINONA
$$
WIC001-005-011-017-019-023-033-035-043-053-057-063-081-091-093-
095-103-107-109-119-121-123-222240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BARRON BUFFALO
CHIPPEWA CLARK CRAWFORD
DUNN EAU CLAIRE GRANT
JACKSON JUNEAU LA CROSSE
MONROE PEPIN PIERCE
POLK RICHLAND RUSK
ST. CROIX TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 322
VALID 222015Z - 222140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N ALO TO
5 SSE RST TO 35 N RST TO 20 ENE MSP TO 5 ENE STC TO 25 N STC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 858
..JEWELL..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-037-043-065-067-089-191-222140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CHICKASAW CLAYTON
FAYETTE FLOYD HOWARD
WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC003-025-045-055-059-109-123-141-157-163-169-222140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA CHISAGO FILLMORE
HOUSTON ISANTI OLMSTED
RAMSEY SHERBURNE WABASHA
WASHINGTON WINONA
$$
WIC001-005-011-017-019-023-033-035-043-053-057-063-081-091-093-
095-103-107-109-119-121-123-222140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BARRON BUFFALO
CHIPPEWA CLARK CRAWFORD
DUNN EAU CLAIRE GRANT
JACKSON JUNEAU LA CROSSE
MONROE PEPIN PIERCE
POLK RICHLAND RUSK
ST. CROIX TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 322
VALID 221930Z - 222040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E MCW TO
30 WSW RST TO 35 SSE MSP TO 35 N MKT TO 25 NNE RWF.
..JEWELL..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-037-043-065-067-089-131-191-222040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CHICKASAW CLAYTON
FAYETTE FLOYD HOWARD
MITCHELL WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC003-019-025-037-039-045-049-053-055-059-085-093-099-109-123-
131-139-141-157-163-169-171-222040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA CARVER CHISAGO
DAKOTA DODGE FILLMORE
GOODHUE HENNEPIN HOUSTON
ISANTI MCLEOD MEEKER
MOWER OLMSTED RAMSEY
RICE SCOTT SHERBURNE
WABASHA WASHINGTON WINONA
WRIGHT
$$
WIC001-005-011-017-019-023-033-035-043-053-057-063-081-091-093-
095-103-107-109-119-121-123-222040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BARRON BUFFALO
CHIPPEWA CLARK CRAWFORD
DUNN EAU CLAIRE GRANT
JACKSON JUNEAU LA CROSSE
MONROE PEPIN PIERCE
POLK RICHLAND RUSK
ST. CROIX TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 322
VALID 221900Z - 222040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-037-043-065-067-089-131-191-222040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CHICKASAW CLAYTON
FAYETTE FLOYD HOWARD
MITCHELL WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC003-013-015-019-025-037-039-043-045-047-049-053-055-059-079-
085-091-093-099-103-109-123-131-139-141-143-147-157-161-163-165-
169-171-222040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHISAGO DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HENNEPIN
HOUSTON ISANTI LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MOWER NICOLLET OLMSTED
RAMSEY RICE SCOTT
SHERBURNE SIBLEY STEELE
WABASHA WASECA WASHINGTON
WATONWAN WINONA WRIGHT
$$
WIC001-005-011-017-019-023-033-035-043-053-057-063-081-091-093-
095-103-107-109-119-121-123-222040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BARRON BUFFALO
CHIPPEWA CLARK CRAWFORD
DUNN EAU CLAIRE GRANT
JACKSON JUNEAU LA CROSSE
MONROE PEPIN PIERCE
POLK RICHLAND RUSK
ST. CROIX TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.