Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 530
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
125 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeastern Minnesota
West-central and southwestern Wisconsin
* Effective this Sunday morning from 125 AM until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...The best-organized part of a thunderstorm complex has been
producing large hail and measured severe gusts in and near the Twin
Cities over the past 1-2 hours, and may maintain severe potential
southeastward through the watch area before weakening. Isolated
severe hail also is possible from somewhat less-organized convection
to its east and southeast.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles west southwest
of Rochester MN to 50 miles east northeast of La Crosse WI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 527...WW 528...WW 529...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31040.
...Edwards
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 530
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
125 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeastern Minnesota
West-central and southwestern Wisconsin
* Effective this Sunday morning from 125 AM until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...The best-organized part of a thunderstorm complex has been
producing large hail and measured severe gusts in and near the Twin
Cities over the past 1-2 hours, and may maintain severe potential
southeastward through the watch area before weakening. Isolated
severe hail also is possible from somewhat less-organized convection
to its east and southeast.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles west southwest
of Rochester MN to 50 miles east northeast of La Crosse WI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 527...WW 528...WW 529...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31040.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 530 SEVERE TSTM MN WI 140625Z - 141100Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
5WSW RST/ROCHESTER MN/ - 50ENE LSE/LA CROSSE WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /49W ODI - 44NNW DLL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31040.
LAT...LON 44479259 44739032 43579032 43319259
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 530 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 530
VALID 140940Z - 141040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW LNR
TO 20 NW VOK TO 35 SW CWA.
..BROYLES..07/14/24
ATTN...WFO...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 530
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC081-141040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MONROE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 530
VALID 140730Z - 140840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..07/14/24
ATTN...WFO...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 530
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC045-055-109-157-169-140840-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON OLMSTED
WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC011-053-063-081-121-123-140840-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO JACKSON LA CROSSE
MONROE TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 530
VALID 140700Z - 140840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..07/14/24
ATTN...WFO...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 530
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC045-055-109-157-169-140840-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON OLMSTED
WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC011-053-063-081-121-123-140840-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO JACKSON LA CROSSE
MONROE TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.