Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 561
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 AM EST Sat Dec 11 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and eastern Kentucky
* Effective this Saturday morning from 225 AM until 900 AM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...A belt of strong-severe thunderstorms, including at least
a couple intense supercells with potential for significant/damaging
tornadoes, will affect the watch area past daybreak. The
overlapping counties affected replace part of tornado watch 554.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles east southeast of Bowling
Green KY to 50 miles east northeast of Lexington KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 554...WW 557...WW
558...WW 559...WW 560...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Edwards
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 561
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 AM EST Sat Dec 11 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and eastern Kentucky
* Effective this Saturday morning from 225 AM until 900 AM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...A belt of strong-severe thunderstorms, including at least
a couple intense supercells with potential for significant/damaging
tornadoes, will affect the watch area past daybreak. The
overlapping counties affected replace part of tornado watch 554.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles east southeast of Bowling
Green KY to 50 miles east northeast of Lexington KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 554...WW 557...WW
558...WW 559...WW 560...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 561 TORNADO KY 110725Z - 111400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45ESE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 50ENE LEX/LEXINGTON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /39ESE BWG - 62SE CVG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 36718684 38308495 38308255 36718450
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 561 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 561
VALID 111235Z - 111340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW LOZ TO
10 SSW LOZ TO 15 NE LOZ TO 25 W JKL TO 30 NNW JKL TO 40 WSW HTS
TO 10 WSW HTS.
..LEITMAN..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 561
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC063-109-129-147-165-175-189-235-237-111340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELLIOTT JACKSON LEE
MCCREARY MENIFEE MORGAN
OWSLEY WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 561
VALID 111140Z - 111240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW LOZ TO
40 WNW LOZ TO 30 SSE LEX TO 40 WSW HTS TO 20 W HTS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2018
..LEITMAN..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 561
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC063-065-079-109-125-129-137-147-151-165-175-189-197-199-203-
235-237-111240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELLIOTT ESTILL GARRARD
JACKSON LAUREL LEE
LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON
MENIFEE MORGAN OWSLEY
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 561
VALID 111050Z - 111140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE BWG
TO 45 ENE BWG TO 40 WSW HTS TO 35 WNW HTS.
..LEITMAN..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 561
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-045-053-057-063-065-079-087-109-125-129-137-151-155-165-
169-171-175-189-197-199-203-205-207-231-237-111140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CASEY CLINTON
CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT ESTILL
GARRARD GREEN JACKSON
LAUREL LEE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION MENIFEE
METCALFE MONROE MORGAN
OWSLEY POWELL PULASKI
ROCKCASTLE ROWAN RUSSELL
WAYNE WOLFE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 561
VALID 110950Z - 111040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW BWG
TO 25 NE BWG TO 15 SE LEX TO 35 NE LEX.
..SQUITIERI..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 561
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-011-021-045-049-053-057-061-063-065-069-079-087-
109-125-129-137-151-155-165-169-171-173-175-181-189-197-199-203-
205-207-213-217-227-231-237-111040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BATH BOYLE CASEY
CLARK CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON ELLIOTT ESTILL
FLEMING GARRARD GREEN
JACKSON LAUREL LEE
LINCOLN MADISON MARION
MENIFEE METCALFE MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NICHOLAS
OWSLEY POWELL PULASKI
ROCKCASTLE ROWAN RUSSELL
SIMPSON TAYLOR WARREN
WAYNE WOLFE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 561
VALID 110855Z - 110940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 561
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-005-009-011-017-021-029-045-049-053-057-061-063-065-
067-069-073-079-085-087-093-097-099-109-113-123-125-129-137-151-
155-165-167-169-171-173-175-179-181-189-197-199-203-205-207-209-
213-215-217-227-229-231-237-239-110940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BATH BOURBON
BOYLE BULLITT CASEY
CLARK CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON ELLIOTT ESTILL
FAYETTE FLEMING FRANKLIN
GARRARD GRAYSON GREEN
HARDIN HARRISON HART
JACKSON JESSAMINE LARUE
LAUREL LEE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION MENIFEE
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NELSON
NICHOLAS OWSLEY POWELL
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
RUSSELL SCOTT SIMPSON
SPENCER TAYLOR WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE WOLFE
WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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