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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 558
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1045 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern and eastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Northern Mississippi
Western to middle Tennessee
Far northeast Texas
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1045 PM
until 500 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several clusters with embedded supercells should
consolidate into a broader QLCS overnight. A couple discrete
supercells may yet form in the open warm sector from northern
Louisiana into northern Mississippi.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northwest of Nashville TN to
20 miles southeast of Shreveport LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 552...WW 553...WW
554...WW 555...WW 556...WW 557...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 558 TORNADO AR LA MS TN TX 110445Z - 111100Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NW BNA/NASHVILLE TN/ - 20SE SHV/SHREVEPORT LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /30NW BNA - 33SSE EIC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 36488578 32249230 32249487 36488848
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 558 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 558
VALID 110945Z - 111040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE IER
TO 30 WNW MLU TO 25 SW GLH TO 40 WSW UOX TO 40 SSW MKL TO 10 NW
BNA TO 20 SSW BWG.
..SQUITIERI..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 558
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-111040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC049-067-073-111040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
JACKSON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
$$
MSC003-009-013-017-043-057-071-081-083-095-115-117-133-135-139-
141-145-151-161-111040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON CALHOUN
CHICKASAW GRENADA ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE LEFLORE
MONROE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WASHINGTON
YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC037-071-081-099-101-109-111-119-149-165-169-181-187-189-
111040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAVIDSON HARDIN HICKMAN
LAWRENCE LEWIS MCNAIRY
MACON MAURY RUTHERFORD
SUMNER TROUSDALE WAYNE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 558
VALID 110840Z - 110940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE SHV TO
20 WNW GLH TO 35 SSW MEM TO 15 ENE MEM TO 30 ESE MKL TO 35 S CKV
TO 5 S CKV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2013.
..EDWARDS..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 558
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-110940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT
$$
LAC013-049-061-067-073-111-110940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE JACKSON LINCOLN
MOREHOUSE OUACHITA UNION
$$
MSC003-009-011-013-017-033-043-057-071-081-083-093-095-107-115-
117-119-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-151-161-110940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CHICKASAW DESOTO
GRENADA ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE LEFLORE MARSHALL
MONROE PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS QUITMAN SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO TUNICA UNION
WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC021-023-037-039-043-047-069-071-077-081-099-101-109-111-119-
125-135-147-149-157-165-169-181-187-189-110940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEATHAM CHESTER DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON FAYETTE
HARDEMAN HARDIN HENDERSON
HICKMAN LAWRENCE LEWIS
MCNAIRY MACON MAURY
MONTGOMERY PERRY ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SHELBY SUMNER
TROUSDALE WAYNE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 558
VALID 110805Z - 110940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW SHV
TO 20 WSW LLQ TO 50 ENE PBF TO 60 ENE PBF TO 50 W MEM.
..LEITMAN..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 558
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-011-017-035-041-043-077-093-107-123-139-110940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY BRADLEY CHICOT
CRITTENDEN DESHA DREW
LEE MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS
ST. FRANCIS UNION
$$
LAC013-015-027-049-061-067-073-111-119-110940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CLAIBORNE
JACKSON LINCOLN MOREHOUSE
OUACHITA UNION WEBSTER
$$
MSC003-009-011-013-017-027-033-043-057-071-081-083-093-095-107-
115-117-119-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-151-161-110940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CHICKASAW COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE LEFLORE
MARSHALL MONROE PANOLA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS QUITMAN
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO TUNICA
UNION WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC005-017-021-023-033-037-039-043-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-
079-081-083-085-097-099-101-109-111-113-119-125-131-135-147-149-
157-161-165-167-169-181-183-187-189-110940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CROCKETT DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEWIS MCNAIRY MACON
MADISON MAURY MONTGOMERY
OBION PERRY ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SHELBY STEWART
SUMNER TIPTON TROUSDALE
WAYNE WEAKLEY WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 558
VALID 110615Z - 110740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 558
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-035-041-043-069-073-077-079-091-
093-095-099-103-107-123-139-110740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA CRITTENDEN DESHA
DREW JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEE LINCOLN MILLER
MISSISSIPPI MONROE NEVADA
OUACHITA PHILLIPS ST. FRANCIS
UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-049-061-067-073-111-119-110740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE JACKSON LINCOLN
MOREHOUSE OUACHITA UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC003-009-011-013-017-027-033-043-057-071-081-083-093-095-107-
115-117-119-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-151-161-110740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CHICKASAW COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE LEFLORE
MARSHALL MONROE PANOLA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS QUITMAN
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO TUNICA
UNION WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC005-017-021-023-033-037-039-043-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-
079-081-083-085-097-099-101-109-111-113-119-125-131-135-147-149-
157-161-165-167-169-181-183-187-189-110740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CROCKETT DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEWIS MCNAIRY MACON
MADISON MAURY MONTGOMERY
OBION PERRY ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SHELBY STEWART
SUMNER TIPTON TROUSDALE
WAYNE WEAKLEY WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
TXC203-315-110740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON MARION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.