Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 48
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North and northeast Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 500 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells are expected to develop
north-northeast from north-central Texas this evening. Large hail is
expected to be the primary hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Fort Worth TX to 50 miles southeast of Paris TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 47...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
22040.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 48 SEVERE TSTM TX 242200Z - 250300Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NW FTW/FORT WORTH TX/ - 50SE PRX/PARIS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /38WNW TTT - 42N GGG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 33719774 33709484 32549484 32559774
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 48 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 48
VALID 250230Z - 250340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..03/25/21
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC063-085-097-113-119-121-147-159-181-183-223-231-277-343-367-
379-387-397-423-439-449-459-497-499-250340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREGG HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MORRIS PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL
SMITH TARRANT TITUS
UPSHUR WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 48
VALID 250140Z - 250240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..03/25/21
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC063-085-097-113-119-121-147-159-181-183-223-231-277-343-367-
379-387-397-423-439-449-459-497-499-250240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREGG HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MORRIS PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL
SMITH TARRANT TITUS
UPSHUR WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 48
VALID 250040Z - 250140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 244
..COOK..03/25/21
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC063-085-097-113-119-121-147-159-181-183-223-231-277-343-367-
379-387-397-423-439-449-459-497-499-250140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREGG HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MORRIS PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL
SMITH TARRANT TITUS
UPSHUR WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 48
VALID 242330Z - 250040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..03/24/21
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC063-085-097-113-119-121-147-159-181-183-223-231-277-343-367-
379-387-397-423-439-449-459-497-499-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREGG HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MORRIS PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL
SMITH TARRANT TITUS
UPSHUR WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 48
VALID 242235Z - 242340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..03/24/21
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC063-085-097-113-119-121-147-159-181-183-223-231-277-343-367-
379-387-397-423-439-449-459-497-499-242340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREGG HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MORRIS PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL
SMITH TARRANT TITUS
UPSHUR WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 48
VALID 242235Z - 250000Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..03/24/21
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC063-085-097-113-119-121-147-159-181-183-223-231-277-343-367-
379-387-397-423-439-449-459-497-499-250000-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMP COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREGG HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MORRIS PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROCKWALL
SMITH TARRANT TITUS
UPSHUR WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.