Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 337
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
610 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL MISSOURI
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 610 AM UNTIL 100
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...NEAR THE NOSE OF A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL
JET...ELEVATED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE/SPREAD
GENERALLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE EARLY/MID MORNING HOURS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KS/NORTHEAST OK AND SOUTHWEST/WEST-CENTRAL MO.
GIVEN STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT/AMPLE ELEVATED INSTABILITY...THE
STRONGEST TSTMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL THIS MORNING. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT A DAMAGING WIND COULD ALSO DEVELOP BY LATE THIS
MORNING/MIDDAY INTO MO IF STORMS REMAIN SUSTAINED/ORGANIZE INTO AN
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...GUYER/CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 337 SEVERE TSTM KS MO OK 231110Z - 231800Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40WNW BVO/BARTLESVILLE OK/ - 70NE SGF/SPRINGFIELD MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /62SE ICT - 53NE SGF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 38009669 38959247 36919247 35979669
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 337 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 337
VALID 231630Z - 231740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE PNC
TO 25 WNW SGF TO 50 NNW SGF TO 20 W SZL.
..BROYLES..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 337
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC021-099-231740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE LABETTE
$$
MOC009-015-029-043-053-059-065-067-077-083-085-091-097-101-105-
109-119-125-131-141-145-149-153-159-161-167-169-203-209-213-215-
225-229-231740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BENTON CAMDEN
CHRISTIAN COOPER DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS GREENE
HENRY HICKORY HOWELL
JASPER JOHNSON LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES
MILLER MORGAN NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PETTIS
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC035-041-097-105-113-115-131-143-147-231740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OSAGE OTTAWA
ROGERS TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 337
VALID 231510Z - 231640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE PNC TO
10 NNW BVO TO 30 S CNU TO 15 NE CNU TO 45 E EMP.
..BROYLES..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 337
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-021-037-099-107-121-133-231640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LABETTE
LINN MIAMI NEOSHO
$$
MOC009-011-013-015-029-037-039-043-053-057-059-077-083-085-097-
101-105-109-119-131-141-145-159-167-185-209-213-217-225-229-
231640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
BENTON CAMDEN CASS
CEDAR CHRISTIAN COOPER
DADE DALLAS GREENE
HENRY HICKORY JASPER
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PETTIS POLK
ST. CLAIR STONE TANEY
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC035-041-097-105-113-115-131-143-147-231640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OSAGE OTTAWA
ROGERS TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 337
VALID 231245Z - 231340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 337
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-019-021-031-035-037-049-073-099-107-121-125-133-
205-207-231340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COFFEY
COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK
GREENWOOD LABETTE LINN
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-013-015-029-037-039-043-053-057-059-077-083-085-097-
101-105-109-119-131-141-145-159-167-185-209-213-217-225-229-
231340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
BENTON CAMDEN CASS
CEDAR CHRISTIAN COOPER
DADE DALLAS GREENE
HENRY HICKORY JASPER
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PETTIS POLK
ST. CLAIR STONE TANEY
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC035-041-097-105-113-115-131-143-147-231340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OSAGE OTTAWA
ROGERS TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.