Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 320
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
710 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT FROM 710 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 316...WW 317...WW
318...WW 319...
DISCUSSION...AN ISOLATED STORM FORMED EARLIER ON THE DRYLINE IN S
CENTRAL OK...WHILE VISIBLE IMAGERY NOW SHOWS MORE DEEPENING
CONVECTION FARTHER TO THE N. EVEN THOUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS
REMAINED RELATIVELY COOL FARTHER TO THE E ACROSS SE OK TODAY...THE
COMBINATION OF STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEWPOINTS NEAR 70 F
WILL MAINTAIN MLCAPE AOA 2500 J/KG FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
SINCE IT APPEARS THAT ONE OR TWO STORMS WILL BECOME SUSTAINED...THE
ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 320 TORNADO OK 220010Z - 220500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNW MLC/MCALESTER OK/ - 15SW DUA/DURANT OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /41NNW MLC - 38SE ADM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 35479511 33799562 33799754 35479705
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 320 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 320
VALID 220135Z - 220240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 320
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-063-069-085-091-095-099-107-111-121-
123-125-127-133-220240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
HUGHES JOHNSTON LOVE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.