Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 38
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Iowa
West Central Illinois
Southeast Kansas
Northern and Central Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1100
PM until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered intense storms will continue to affect parts of
northern Missouri, while new storms develop over southeast Kansas
and spread eastward across the watch area. Large hail appears to be
the primary risk overnight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles south southwest
of Chanute KS to 35 miles north northwest of Kirksville MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 35...WW 36...WW 37...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Hart
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 38
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Iowa
West Central Illinois
Southeast Kansas
Northern and Central Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1100
PM until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered intense storms will continue to affect parts of
northern Missouri, while new storms develop over southeast Kansas
and spread eastward across the watch area. Large hail appears to be
the primary risk overnight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles south southwest
of Chanute KS to 35 miles north northwest of Kirksville MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 35...WW 36...WW 37...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 38 SEVERE TSTM IA IL KS MO 140400Z - 141100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45SSW CNU/CHANUTE KS/ - 35NNW IRK/KIRKSVILLE MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /29W OSW - 28NNW IRK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 37069706 40569414 40569147 37069452
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 38 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 38
VALID 140940Z - 141040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW BVO
TO 15 ESE CNU TO 35 NE CNU TO 40 SW SZL TO 35 N SZL TO 15 SE CDJ
TO 30 SSW OXV.
..DEAN..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-067-071-109-149-187-141040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN HANCOCK
HENDERSON MCDONOUGH PIKE
WARREN
$$
IAC057-087-111-177-141040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY LEE
VAN BUREN
$$
KSC011-037-099-141040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CRAWFORD LABETTE
$$
MOC001-013-015-033-041-045-053-083-089-101-103-107-111-115-121-
127-137-141-159-171-173-175-185-195-197-199-205-211-217-
141040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES BENTON
CARROLL CHARITON CLARK
COOPER HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN MACON
MARION MONROE MORGAN
PETTIS PUTNAM RALLS
RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SALINE
SCHUYLER SCOTLAND SHELBY
SULLIVAN VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 38
VALID 140820Z - 140940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE PNC TO
30 W CNU TO 35 SW OJC TO 10 NW FLV TO 35 NE FNB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 226
..DEAN..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-067-071-109-149-187-140940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN HANCOCK
HENDERSON MCDONOUGH PIKE
WARREN
$$
IAC057-087-111-177-140940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY LEE
VAN BUREN
$$
KSC001-011-019-037-049-091-099-103-107-121-125-133-205-207-209-
140940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CRAWFORD ELK JOHNSON
LABETTE LEAVENWORTH LINN
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-013-015-021-025-033-037-041-045-047-049-053-061-063-
075-079-081-083-089-095-101-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-137-
141-159-165-171-173-175-177-185-195-197-199-205-211-217-
140940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW BATES
BENTON BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CARROLL CASS CHARITON
CLARK CLAY CLINTON
COOPER DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HENRY HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MARION MERCER
MONROE MORGAN PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RALLS
RANDOLPH RAY ST. CLAIR
SALINE SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 38
VALID 140735Z - 140840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE ICT
TO 30 W CNU TO 30 S TOP TO 10 N TOP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 226
..DEAN..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-067-071-109-187-140840-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS HANCOCK HENDERSON
MCDONOUGH WARREN
$$
IAC057-087-111-177-140840-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY LEE
VAN BUREN
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-019-031-035-037-043-045-049-059-073-087-091-
099-103-107-121-125-133-139-177-205-207-209-140840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY
COWLEY CRAWFORD DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS ELK FRANKLIN
GREENWOOD JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LABETTE LEAVENWORTH LINN
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
OSAGE SHAWNEE WILSON
WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-013-015-021-025-033-037-041-045-047-049-053-061-063-
075-079-081-083-089-095-101-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-137-
141-159-165-171-173-175-177-185-195-197-199-205-211-217-
140840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW BATES
BENTON BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CARROLL CASS CHARITON
CLARK CLAY CLINTON
COOPER DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HENRY HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MARION MERCER
MONROE MORGAN PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RALLS
RANDOLPH RAY ST. CLAIR
SALINE SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 38
VALID 140625Z - 140740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-067-071-109-187-140740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS HANCOCK HENDERSON
MCDONOUGH WARREN
$$
IAC057-087-111-177-140740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY LEE
VAN BUREN
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-015-019-031-035-037-043-045-049-059-073-087-
091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-205-207-209-140740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LABETTE LEAVENWORTH
LINN LYON MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO OSAGE
SHAWNEE WILSON WOODSON
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-013-015-021-025-033-037-041-045-047-049-053-061-063-
075-079-081-083-089-095-101-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-137-
141-159-165-171-173-175-177-185-195-197-199-205-211-217-
140740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW BATES
BENTON BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CARROLL CASS CHARITON
CLARK CLAY CLINTON
COOPER DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HENRY HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MARION MERCER
MONROE MORGAN PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RALLS
RANDOLPH RAY ST. CLAIR
SALINE SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 38
VALID 140530Z - 140640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-067-071-109-187-140640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS HANCOCK HENDERSON
MCDONOUGH WARREN
$$
IAC057-087-111-177-140640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY LEE
VAN BUREN
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-015-019-031-035-037-043-045-049-059-073-087-
091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-205-207-209-140640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LABETTE LEAVENWORTH
LINN LYON MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO OSAGE
SHAWNEE WILSON WOODSON
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-013-015-021-025-033-037-041-045-047-049-053-061-063-
075-079-081-083-089-095-101-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-137-
141-159-165-171-173-175-177-185-195-197-199-205-211-217-
140640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW BATES
BENTON BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CARROLL CASS CHARITON
CLARK CLAY CLINTON
COOPER DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HENRY HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MARION MERCER
MONROE MORGAN PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RALLS
RANDOLPH RAY ST. CLAIR
SALINE SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 38
VALID 140440Z - 140540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-067-109-140540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS HANCOCK MCDONOUGH
$$
IAC111-177-140540-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE VAN BUREN
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-015-019-031-035-037-043-045-049-059-073-087-
091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-205-207-209-140540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LABETTE LEAVENWORTH
LINN LYON MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO OSAGE
SHAWNEE WILSON WOODSON
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-013-015-021-025-033-037-041-045-047-049-053-061-063-
075-079-081-083-089-095-101-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-137-
141-159-165-171-173-175-177-185-195-197-199-205-211-217-
140540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW BATES
BENTON BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CARROLL CASS CHARITON
CLARK CLAY CLINTON
COOPER DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HENRY HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MARION MERCER
MONROE MORGAN PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RALLS
RANDOLPH RAY ST. CLAIR
SALINE SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.