Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 55
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme southwest Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
North central and northeast Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...Scattered supercells will move northeastward along a
stalled front from north Texas into southeast Oklahoma through late
evening, while additional storms form in the warm sector to the
south, and spread into north Texas from the west. The most
persistent/intense supercells will pose the threat for very large
hail up to 3 inches in diameter and a strong tornado or two.
Otherwise, upscale growth of the storms will favor an eventual
transition to the threat for damaging winds, some of which be near
or above 75 mph.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles east of Paris TX to 40 miles
west southwest of Stephenville TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 53...WW 54...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Thompson
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 55
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme southwest Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
North central and northeast Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...Scattered supercells will move northeastward along a
stalled front from north Texas into southeast Oklahoma through late
evening, while additional storms form in the warm sector to the
south, and spread into north Texas from the west. The most
persistent/intense supercells will pose the threat for very large
hail up to 3 inches in diameter and a strong tornado or two.
Otherwise, upscale growth of the storms will favor an eventual
transition to the threat for damaging winds, some of which be near
or above 75 mph.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles east of Paris TX to 40 miles
west southwest of Stephenville TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 53...WW 54...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 55 TORNADO AR OK TX 022055Z - 030400Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60E PRX/PARIS TX/ - 40WSW SEP/STEPHENVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /18WNW TXK - 61ESE ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 32409441 30779881 33239881 34869441
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 55 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 55
VALID 030330Z - 030440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE CLL
TO 45 SE CRS TO 35 SSW TYR TO 25 NE TYR TO 45 SE PRX TO 30 SSW
DEQ TO 15 WNW DEQ TO 10 S FSM.
..FLOURNOY..03/03/23
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC081-091-133-030440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER SEVIER
$$
OKC089-030440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-005-037-063-067-073-145-161-183-203-289-293-315-331-343-
347-365-395-401-403-405-419-423-459-030440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BOWIE
CAMP CASS CHEROKEE
FALLS FREESTONE GREGG
HARRISON LEON LIMESTONE
MARION MILAM MORRIS
NACOGDOCHES PANOLA ROBERTSON
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY SMITH UPSHUR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 55
VALID 030230Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE AUS
TO 30 ESE TPL TO 25 ESE ACT TO 20 SSW CRS TO 30 NNE CRS TO 40 NNW
TYR TO 10 SE PRX TO 20 NNE PRX TO 40 WNW DEQ TO 25 WSW RKR TO 30
ESE MKO.
..FLOURNOY..03/03/23
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC081-091-133-030340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER SEVIER
$$
OKC079-089-030340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-005-037-063-067-073-145-159-161-183-203-213-223-289-293-
315-331-343-347-349-365-387-395-401-403-405-419-423-449-459-467-
499-030340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BOWIE
CAMP CASS CHEROKEE
FALLS FRANKLIN FREESTONE
GREGG HARRISON HENDERSON
HOPKINS LEON LIMESTONE
MARION MILAM MORRIS
NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO PANOLA
RED RIVER ROBERTSON RUSK
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY
SMITH TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 55
VALID 030125Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW TPL TO
5 NNW ACT TO 25 SSE DAL TO 25 E DAL TO 35 ESE GYI TO 40 N PRX TO
25 SE MLC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 237
..FLOURNOY..03/03/23
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC081-091-133-030240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER SEVIER
$$
OKC023-061-077-079-089-127-030240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC001-027-037-063-067-119-139-145-147-159-161-183-203-213-217-
223-231-257-277-289-293-309-315-331-343-349-379-387-395-397-423-
449-459-467-499-030240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BELL BOWIE
CAMP CASS DELTA
ELLIS FALLS FANNIN
FRANKLIN FREESTONE GREGG
HARRISON HENDERSON HILL
HOPKINS HUNT KAUFMAN
LAMAR LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MARION MILAM
MORRIS NAVARRO RAINS
RED RIVER ROBERTSON ROCKWALL
SMITH TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 55
VALID 030030Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NW AUS TO
50 WNW TPL TO 25 E SEP TO 20 S FTW TO 20 SSW GYI TO 5 SE DUA TO
30 SSW MLC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 233
..FLOURNOY..03/03/23
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC081-091-133-030140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER SEVIER
$$
OKC005-013-023-061-077-079-089-121-127-030140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC027-035-037-063-067-085-099-113-119-121-139-147-159-181-183-
193-203-213-217-223-231-251-257-277-281-309-315-343-349-379-387-
397-423-439-449-459-467-499-030140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BOWIE
CAMP CASS COLLIN
CORYELL DALLAS DELTA
DENTON ELLIS FANNIN
FRANKLIN GRAYSON GREGG
HAMILTON HARRISON HENDERSON
HILL HOPKINS HUNT
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
LAMPASAS MCLENNAN MARION
MORRIS NAVARRO RAINS
RED RIVER ROCKWALL SMITH
TARRANT TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 55
VALID 022140Z - 022240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 230
..THORNTON..03/02/23
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 55
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC081-091-133-022240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER SEVIER
$$
OKC005-013-023-061-077-079-089-121-127-022240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC027-035-037-063-067-085-093-097-099-113-119-121-133-139-143-
147-159-181-183-193-203-213-217-221-223-231-251-257-277-281-309-
315-333-343-349-363-367-379-387-397-423-425-429-439-449-459-467-
497-499-022240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BOWIE
CAMP CASS COLLIN
COMANCHE COOKE CORYELL
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREGG HAMILTON HARRISON
HENDERSON HILL HOOD
HOPKINS HUNT JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LAMAR LAMPASAS
MCLENNAN MARION MILLS
MORRIS NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS RED RIVER
ROCKWALL SMITH SOMERVELL
STEPHENS TARRANT TITUS
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WISE
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.