Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 54
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
The Edwards Plateau and Big Country of Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
800 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A mix of supercells and line segments will form along a
sharpening dryline in west central Texas, and the storms will spread
eastward through late afternoon/evening. Very large hail up to 3
inches in diameter and thunderstorm gusts of 60-75 mph can be
expected with the most intense storms. An isolated tornado may also
occur along a stalled front in the area near and just northeast of
Abilene.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Abilene
TX to 10 miles south southwest of Junction TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 53...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Thompson
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 54
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
The Edwards Plateau and Big Country of Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
800 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A mix of supercells and line segments will form along a
sharpening dryline in west central Texas, and the storms will spread
eastward through late afternoon/evening. Very large hail up to 3
inches in diameter and thunderstorm gusts of 60-75 mph can be
expected with the most intense storms. An isolated tornado may also
occur along a stalled front in the area near and just northeast of
Abilene.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Abilene
TX to 10 miles south southwest of Junction TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 53...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 54 SEVERE TSTM TX 021930Z - 030200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40N ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 10SSW JCT/JUNCTION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /32NNE ABI - 13S JCT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 33009873 30389891 30380076 33000063
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 54 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 54
VALID 022335Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE JCT TO
45 S BWD TO 20 S BWD TO 15 E BWD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 231
..FLOURNOY..03/02/23
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC319-411-030040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MASON SAN SABA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 54
VALID 022235Z - 022340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW JCT
TO 20 NW JCT TO 45 WSW BWD TO 20 ESE ABI TO 35 W MWL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 230
..FLOURNOY..03/02/23
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-083-095-267-307-319-327-411-022340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COLEMAN
CONCHO KIMBLE MCCULLOCH
MASON MENARD SAN SABA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 54
VALID 022135Z - 022240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW SJT TO
60 NNW ABI.
..THORNTON..03/02/23
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-207-253-267-307-319-327-353-399-411-413-
417-435-441-447-451-022240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO HASKELL
JONES KIMBLE MCCULLOCH
MASON MENARD NOLAN
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD SUTTON TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 54
VALID 022040Z - 022140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 228
..THORNTON..03/02/23
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-151-207-235-253-267-307-319-327-353-399-
411-413-417-431-435-441-447-451-022140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO FISHER
HASKELL IRION JONES
KIMBLE MCCULLOCH MASON
MENARD NOLAN RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD
STERLING SUTTON TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
