Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 553
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and central Illinois
Southwest to northeast Missouri
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 520 PM until
1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Additional supercells should develop from southwest to
northeast Missouri and spread rapidly northeast this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Peoria IL to
45 miles west of West Plains MO. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 552...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 23045.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 553 TORNADO IL MO 102320Z - 110500Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30WNW PIA/PEORIA IL/ - 45W UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /34SW BDF - 48SE SGF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
LAT...LON 40828868 36749124 36749413 40829174
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 553 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 553
VALID 110305Z - 110440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE HRO
TO 45 ESE SGF TO 10 NNE VIH TO 40 ENE JEF TO 40 NNW STL TO 30 WSW
SPI TO 15 NE SPI TO 30 NE PIA.
..BENTLEY..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...DVN...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 553
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC005-013-021-027-051-061-083-117-119-121-135-167-110440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOND CALHOUN CHRISTIAN
CLINTON FAYETTE GREENE
JERSEY MACOUPIN MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY SANGAMON
$$
MOC067-071-073-153-161-183-189-213-219-229-510-110440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN GASCONADE
OZARK PHELPS ST. CHARLES
ST. LOUIS TANEY WARREN
WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 553
VALID 110225Z - 110340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE UMN TO
30 ENE SGF TO 20 SSW JEF TO 15 E COU TO 15 ENE UIN TO 20 ENE BRL.
..BENTLEY..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...DVN...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 553
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC005-013-017-021-027-051-057-061-083-109-117-119-121-125-129-
135-137-149-167-169-171-110340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOND CALHOUN CASS
CHRISTIAN CLINTON FAYETTE
FULTON GREENE JERSEY
MCDONOUGH MACOUPIN MADISON
MARION MASON MENARD
MONTGOMERY MORGAN PIKE
SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT
$$
MOC027-043-067-071-073-105-113-125-131-139-151-153-161-163-169-
183-189-213-219-225-229-510-110340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAWAY CHRISTIAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GASCONADE LACLEDE
LINCOLN MARIES MILLER
MONTGOMERY OSAGE OZARK
PHELPS PIKE PULASKI
ST. CHARLES ST. LOUIS TANEY
WARREN WEBSTER WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 553
VALID 110055Z - 110140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BENTLEY..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...DVN...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 553
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-005-009-013-017-021-027-051-057-061-067-083-109-117-119-
121-125-129-135-137-149-167-169-171-110140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOND BROWN
CALHOUN CASS CHRISTIAN
CLINTON FAYETTE FULTON
GREENE HANCOCK JERSEY
MCDONOUGH MACOUPIN MADISON
MARION MASON MENARD
MONTGOMERY MORGAN PIKE
SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT
$$
MOC007-019-027-029-043-045-051-059-067-071-073-077-103-105-111-
113-125-127-131-135-137-139-141-151-153-161-163-169-173-183-189-
205-209-213-219-225-229-510-110140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOONE CALLAWAY
CAMDEN CHRISTIAN CLARK
COLE DALLAS DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GASCONADE GREENE
KNOX LACLEDE LEWIS
LINCOLN MARIES MARION
MILLER MONITEAU MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OSAGE
OZARK PHELPS PIKE
PULASKI RALLS ST. CHARLES
ST. LOUIS SHELBY STONE
TANEY WARREN WEBSTER
WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.