Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 552
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and northeastern Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwestern Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeastern Missouri
Northwestern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development is expected this afternoon
through early tonight from central Arkansas northeastward toward the
confluence of the Mississippi and Ohio Rivers. Other storm
development is expected early tonight along a cold front moving into
Missouri and Arkansas. The storm environment will favor the
potential for a few strong tornadoes this evening through early
tonight, as well as damaging winds and large hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles west southwest of Pine Bluff
AR to 35 miles northeast of Carbondale IL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.
...Thompson
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 552
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and northeastern Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwestern Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeastern Missouri
Northwestern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development is expected this afternoon
through early tonight from central Arkansas northeastward toward the
confluence of the Mississippi and Ohio Rivers. Other storm
development is expected early tonight along a cold front moving into
Missouri and Arkansas. The storm environment will favor the
potential for a few strong tornadoes this evening through early
tonight, as well as damaging winds and large hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles west southwest of Pine Bluff
AR to 35 miles northeast of Carbondale IL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 552 TORNADO AR IL IN KY MO MS TN 102100Z - 110500Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10WSW PBF/PINE BLUFF AR/ - 35NE MDH/CARBONDALE IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /34S LIT - 50WNW PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
LAT...LON 34099384 38129063 38128695 34099034
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 552 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 552
VALID 110220Z - 110340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1992
..BENTLEY..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 552
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-045-049-051-053-055-
059-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-085-093-095-097-105-107-109-111-
115-117-119-121-123-125-135-137-141-145-147-149-110340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER FULTON
GARLAND GRANT GREENE
HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE MONTGOMERY
PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE
POINSETT POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-133-145-151-153-157-
163-165-181-185-189-191-193-199-110340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC MONROE PERRY
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE UNION
WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-110340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-
157-221-225-233-110340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC027-033-093-107-119-137-143-110340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COAHOMA DESOTO MARSHALL
PANOLA QUITMAN TATE
TUNICA
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-069-091-093-099-123-133-143-149-155-
157-179-181-186-187-201-203-207-215-221-223-110340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
DUNKLIN HOWELL IRON
JEFFERSON MADISON MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID OREGON PEMISCOT
PERRY REYNOLDS RIPLEY
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS SCOTT
SHANNON STODDARD TEXAS
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-069-075-079-095-097-113-131-157-167-183-
110340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HAYWOOD HENRY LAKE
LAUDERDALE MADISON OBION
SHELBY TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 552
VALID 110055Z - 110140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BENTLEY..12/11/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 552
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-045-049-051-053-055-
059-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-085-093-095-097-105-107-109-111-
115-117-119-121-123-125-135-137-141-145-147-149-110140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER FULTON
GARLAND GRANT GREENE
HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE MONTGOMERY
PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE
POINSETT POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-133-145-151-153-157-
163-165-181-185-189-191-193-199-110140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC MONROE PERRY
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE UNION
WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-110140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-
157-221-225-233-110140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC027-033-093-107-119-137-143-110140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COAHOMA DESOTO MARSHALL
PANOLA QUITMAN TATE
TUNICA
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-069-091-093-099-123-133-143-149-155-
157-179-181-186-187-201-203-207-215-221-223-110140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
DUNKLIN HOWELL IRON
JEFFERSON MADISON MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID OREGON PEMISCOT
PERRY REYNOLDS RIPLEY
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS SCOTT
SHANNON STODDARD TEXAS
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-069-075-079-095-097-113-131-157-167-183-
110140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HAYWOOD HENRY LAKE
LAUDERDALE MADISON OBION
SHELBY TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 552
VALID 102330Z - 110040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BENTLEY..12/10/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 552
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-045-049-051-053-055-
059-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-085-093-095-097-105-107-109-111-
115-117-119-121-123-125-135-137-141-145-147-149-110040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER FULTON
GARLAND GRANT GREENE
HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE MONTGOMERY
PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE
POINSETT POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-133-145-151-153-157-
163-165-181-185-189-191-193-199-110040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC MONROE PERRY
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE UNION
WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-110040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-
157-221-225-233-110040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC027-033-093-107-119-137-143-110040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COAHOMA DESOTO MARSHALL
PANOLA QUITMAN TATE
TUNICA
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-069-091-093-099-123-133-143-149-155-
157-179-181-186-187-201-203-207-215-221-223-110040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
DUNKLIN HOWELL IRON
JEFFERSON MADISON MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID OREGON PEMISCOT
PERRY REYNOLDS RIPLEY
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS SCOTT
SHANNON STODDARD TEXAS
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-069-075-079-095-097-113-131-157-167-183-
110040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HAYWOOD HENRY LAKE
LAUDERDALE MADISON OBION
SHELBY TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 552
VALID 102255Z - 102340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1982
..BENTLEY..12/10/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 552
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-045-049-051-053-055-
059-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-085-093-095-097-105-107-109-111-
115-117-119-121-123-125-135-137-141-145-147-149-102340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER FULTON
GARLAND GRANT GREENE
HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE MONTGOMERY
PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE
POINSETT POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-133-145-151-153-157-
163-165-181-185-189-191-193-199-102340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC MONROE PERRY
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE UNION
WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-102340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-
157-221-225-233-102340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC027-033-093-107-119-137-143-102340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COAHOMA DESOTO MARSHALL
PANOLA QUITMAN TATE
TUNICA
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-069-091-093-099-123-133-143-149-155-
157-179-181-186-187-201-203-207-215-221-223-102340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
DUNKLIN HOWELL IRON
JEFFERSON MADISON MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID OREGON PEMISCOT
PERRY REYNOLDS RIPLEY
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS SCOTT
SHANNON STODDARD TEXAS
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-069-075-079-095-097-113-131-157-167-183-
102340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HAYWOOD HENRY LAKE
LAUDERDALE MADISON OBION
SHELBY TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.