Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 418
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 PM MDT Tue Aug 4 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
eastern Colorado
far western Kansas
southwestern Nebraska
northeastern New Mexico
the Oklahoma panhandle
the Texas panhandle
southeastern Wyoming
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms initiating over the mountains and foothills
will intensify while spreading southeastward into the adjacent
plains late this afternoon and evening. Isolated supercells are
possible, in addition to organizing clusters, which will pose a risk
for severe hail and wind.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Sidney NE to 20 miles south southeast of Dalhart TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 416...WW 417...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
33015.
...Kerr
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 418
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 PM MDT Tue Aug 4 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
eastern Colorado
far western Kansas
southwestern Nebraska
northeastern New Mexico
the Oklahoma panhandle
the Texas panhandle
southeastern Wyoming
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms initiating over the mountains and foothills
will intensify while spreading southeastward into the adjacent
plains late this afternoon and evening. Isolated supercells are
possible, in addition to organizing clusters, which will pose a risk
for severe hail and wind.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Sidney NE to 20 miles south southeast of Dalhart TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 416...WW 417...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
33015.
...Kerr
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 418 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE NM OK TX WY 041940Z - 050300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45WNW SNY/SIDNEY NE/ - 20SSE DHT/DALHART TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /35SSW BFF - 47NW AMA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33015.
LAT...LON 41340243 35750117 35750366 41340513
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 418 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 418
VALID 050150Z - 050240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE RWL
TO 35 NE LAR TO CYS TO 15 WSW SNY TO 35 N SNY.
..WENDT..08/05/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-013-014-017-025-031-035-039-041-059-061-063-
069-071-073-075-087-089-095-099-101-115-121-123-125-050240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT BOULDER BROOMFIELD
CHEYENNE CROWLEY DENVER
DOUGLAS ELBERT EL PASO
JEFFERSON KIOWA KIT CARSON
LARIMER LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN OTERO
PHILLIPS PROWERS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
$$
KSC071-075-129-181-187-189-199-050240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY HAMILTON MORTON
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
WALLACE
$$
NEC033-049-050240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DEUEL
$$
NMC007-059-050240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX UNION
$$
OKC025-050240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON
$$
TXC111-205-050240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
WYC001-050240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 418
VALID 050030Z - 050140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..08/05/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-013-014-017-025-031-035-039-041-059-061-063-
069-071-073-075-087-089-095-099-101-115-121-123-125-050140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT BOULDER BROOMFIELD
CHEYENNE CROWLEY DENVER
DOUGLAS ELBERT EL PASO
JEFFERSON KIOWA KIT CARSON
LARIMER LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN OTERO
PHILLIPS PROWERS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
$$
KSC071-075-129-181-187-189-199-050140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY HAMILTON MORTON
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
WALLACE
$$
NEC007-033-049-105-157-050140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER CHEYENNE DEUEL
KIMBALL SCOTTS BLUFF
$$
NMC007-059-050140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX UNION
$$
OKC025-050140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON
$$
TXC111-205-050140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
WYC001-015-021-031-050140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY GOSHEN LARAMIE
PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 418
VALID 042340Z - 050040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..08/04/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-013-014-017-025-031-035-039-041-059-061-063-
069-071-073-075-087-089-095-099-101-115-121-123-125-050040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT BOULDER BROOMFIELD
CHEYENNE CROWLEY DENVER
DOUGLAS ELBERT EL PASO
JEFFERSON KIOWA KIT CARSON
LARIMER LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN OTERO
PHILLIPS PROWERS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
$$
KSC071-075-129-181-187-189-199-050040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY HAMILTON MORTON
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
WALLACE
$$
NEC007-033-049-105-157-050040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER CHEYENNE DEUEL
KIMBALL SCOTTS BLUFF
$$
NMC007-059-050040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX UNION
$$
OKC025-050040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON
$$
TXC111-205-050040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
WYC001-015-021-031-050040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY GOSHEN LARAMIE
PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 418
VALID 042310Z - 050040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1400
..WENDT..08/04/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-013-014-017-025-031-035-039-041-059-061-063-
069-071-073-075-087-089-095-099-101-115-121-123-125-050040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT BOULDER BROOMFIELD
CHEYENNE CROWLEY DENVER
DOUGLAS ELBERT EL PASO
JEFFERSON KIOWA KIT CARSON
LARIMER LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN OTERO
PHILLIPS PROWERS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
$$
KSC071-075-129-181-187-189-199-050040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY HAMILTON MORTON
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
WALLACE
$$
NEC007-033-049-105-157-050040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER CHEYENNE DEUEL
KIMBALL SCOTTS BLUFF
$$
NMC007-059-050040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX UNION
$$
OKC025-050040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON
$$
TXC111-205-050040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
WYC001-015-021-031-050040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY GOSHEN LARAMIE
PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 418
VALID 042135Z - 042240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..08/04/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-013-014-017-025-031-035-039-041-059-061-063-
069-071-073-075-087-089-095-099-101-115-121-123-125-042240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT BOULDER BROOMFIELD
CHEYENNE CROWLEY DENVER
DOUGLAS ELBERT EL PASO
JEFFERSON KIOWA KIT CARSON
LARIMER LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN OTERO
PHILLIPS PROWERS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
$$
KSC071-075-129-181-187-189-199-042240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY HAMILTON MORTON
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
WALLACE
$$
NEC007-033-049-105-157-042240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER CHEYENNE DEUEL
KIMBALL SCOTTS BLUFF
$$
NMC007-059-042240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX UNION
$$
OKC025-042240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON
$$
TXC111-205-042240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
WYC001-015-021-031-042240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY GOSHEN LARAMIE
PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 418
VALID 042030Z - 042140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..08/04/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-013-014-017-025-031-035-039-041-059-061-063-
069-071-073-075-087-089-095-099-101-115-121-123-125-042140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT BOULDER BROOMFIELD
CHEYENNE CROWLEY DENVER
DOUGLAS ELBERT EL PASO
JEFFERSON KIOWA KIT CARSON
LARIMER LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN OTERO
PHILLIPS PROWERS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
$$
KSC071-075-129-181-187-189-199-042140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY HAMILTON MORTON
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
WALLACE
$$
NEC007-033-049-105-157-042140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER CHEYENNE DEUEL
KIMBALL SCOTTS BLUFF
$$
NMC007-059-042140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX UNION
$$
OKC025-042140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON
$$
TXC111-205-042140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
WYC001-015-021-031-042140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY GOSHEN LARAMIE
PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.