Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 660
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM MDT TUE AUG 4 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
LARGE PART OF EASTERN WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF GILLETTE WYOMING TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALLIANCE
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 657...WW 658...WW 659...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN ERN WY. WITH 35-40 KT OF SHEAR...VERY STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND MLCAPES AOA 1000 J/KG...WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL BECOME
INCREASING THREAT AS STORMS MOVE EWD INTO ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS THRU
THIS EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 660 SEVERE TSTM NE SD WY 042140Z - 050500Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55WSW GCC/GILLETTE WY/ - 50NE AIA/ALLIANCE NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM N/S /5WNW CZI - 73NE BFF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
LAT...LON 45490655 44000211 41110211 42590655
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 660 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 660
VALID 050440Z - 050500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E SNY TO
25 NNW AIA TO 30 ESE CDR TO 60 ENE CDR.
REMAINDER WW 660 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 050500Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1782.
..EDWARDS..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC013-045-049-069-161-050500-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOX BUTTE DAWES DEUEL
GARDEN SHERIDAN
$$
SDC007-071-113-050500-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT JACKSON SHANNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 660
VALID 050335Z - 050440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE TOR
TO 35 WNW CDR TO 30 SW PHP.
..EDWARDS..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC013-045-049-069-161-165-050440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOX BUTTE DAWES DEUEL
GARDEN SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
SDC007-071-113-050440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT JACKSON SHANNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 660
VALID 050230Z - 050340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N LAR TO
70 NW CDR TO 40 S 2WX.
..HURLBUT..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-157-161-165-050340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
SDC007-033-047-071-093-103-113-050340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT CUSTER FALL RIVER
JACKSON MEADE PENNINGTON
SHANNON
$$
WYC015-031-050340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 660
VALID 050135Z - 050240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE RWL
TO 35 N DGW TO 50 ESE GCC TO 40 ESE 4BQ.
..HURLBUT..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-157-161-165-050240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
SDC033-047-081-093-103-113-050240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER LAWRENCE
MEADE PENNINGTON SHANNON
$$
WYC009-011-015-027-031-045-050240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CONVERSE CROOK GOSHEN
NIOBRARA PLATTE WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 660
VALID 050030Z - 050140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW CPR
TO 50 SSW GCC TO 35 ESE 4BQ.
..HURLBUT..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-157-161-165-050140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
SDC033-047-081-093-103-113-050140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER LAWRENCE
MEADE PENNINGTON SHANNON
$$
WYC005-009-011-015-027-031-045-050140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CONVERSE CROOK
GOSHEN NIOBRARA PLATTE
WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 660
VALID 042340Z - 050040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE SHR
TO 10 W 4BQ.
..HURLBUT..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-157-161-165-050040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
SDC033-047-081-093-103-113-050040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER LAWRENCE
MEADE PENNINGTON SHANNON
$$
WYC005-009-011-015-027-031-045-050040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CONVERSE CROOK
GOSHEN NIOBRARA PLATTE
WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 660
VALID 042235Z - 042340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 660
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-157-161-165-042340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
SDC033-047-081-093-103-113-042340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER LAWRENCE
MEADE PENNINGTON SHANNON
$$
WYC005-009-011-015-027-031-033-045-042340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CONVERSE CROOK
GOSHEN NIOBRARA PLATTE
SHERIDAN WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.