Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 659
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
430 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY
MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 430 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRISTOL
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 657...WW 658...
DISCUSSION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY BECOMING
WIDESPREAD ACROSS WW LATE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF WEAKENING LINEAR
MCS MOVING OUT OF KY. SHEAR REMAINS MODEST...BUT AIRMASS ACROSS
MIDDLE TN INTO NERN TN IS VERY UNSTABLE. EXPECT ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS/HAIL WILL ACCOMPANY STRONGER STORMS AS STORMS INCREASE IN
COVERAGE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 33035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 659 SEVERE TSTM KY TN VA 042030Z - 050200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
10WSW BNA/NASHVILLE TN/ - 35NE TRI/BRISTOL TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /9WSW BNA - 25NNE HMV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33035.
LAT...LON 36938684 37708194 35958194 35208684
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 659 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 659
VALID 050155Z - 050240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE BWG
TO 25 N CHA.
SOME COUNTIES AHEAD OF NEWER MCS MAY BE EXTENDED IN TIME. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1780.
..EDWARDS..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 659
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC035-037-041-141-147-159-165-169-175-185-189-050240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DEKALB
PUTNAM ROBERTSON SMITH
SUMNER TROUSDALE VAN BUREN
WHITE WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 659
VALID 050035Z - 050140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE BWG
TO 35 NW CSV TO 25 SW TYS.
..EDWARDS..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 659
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC007-035-037-041-107-121-123-141-143-147-159-165-169-175-185-
189-050140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLEDSOE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DEKALB MCMINN MEIGS
MONROE PUTNAM RHEA
ROBERTSON SMITH SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WHITE
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 659
VALID 042330Z - 050040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW BWG
TO 35 ENE BNA TO 15 ENE CSV TO 15 E TYS TO 10 NNE HSS TO 45 NE
TRI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1776.
..EDWARDS..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 659
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC007-009-019-029-035-037-041-091-105-107-121-123-141-143-145-
147-155-159-163-165-169-171-175-179-185-189-050040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLEDSOE BLOUNT CARTER
COCKE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DEKALB JOHNSON LOUDON
MCMINN MEIGS MONROE
PUTNAM RHEA ROANE
ROBERTSON SEVIER SMITH
SULLIVAN SUMNER TROUSDALE
UNICOI VAN BUREN WASHINGTON
WHITE WILSON
$$
VAC167-191-520-050040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RUSSELL WASHINGTON
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 659
VALID 042250Z - 042340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE BWG TO
30 NE BNA TO 25 NNE CSV TO 15 NNW TYS TO 20 NNW HSS TO 40 N TRI
TO 35 W BLF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1776.
..EDWARDS..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 659
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC001-007-009-019-029-035-037-041-049-057-059-063-087-089-091-
093-105-107-121-123-129-133-141-143-145-147-155-159-163-165-169-
171-175-179-185-189-042340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
CARTER COCKE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DEKALB FENTRESS
GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
KNOX LOUDON MCMINN
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
OVERTON PUTNAM RHEA
ROANE ROBERTSON SEVIER
SMITH SULLIVAN SUMNER
TROUSDALE UNICOI VAN BUREN
WASHINGTON WHITE WILSON
$$
VAC167-169-191-195-520-720-042340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 659
VALID 042135Z - 042240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 659
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC095-119-131-133-193-042240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARLAN KNOTT LESLIE
LETCHER PERRY
$$
TNC001-007-009-013-019-025-027-029-035-037-041-049-057-059-063-
067-073-087-089-091-093-105-107-111-121-123-129-133-137-141-143-
145-147-151-155-159-163-165-169-171-173-175-179-185-189-
042240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
CAMPBELL CARTER CLAIBORNE
CLAY COCKE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DEKALB FENTRESS
GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN
HANCOCK HAWKINS JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MACON
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
OVERTON PICKETT PUTNAM
RHEA ROANE ROBERTSON
SCOTT SEVIER SMITH
SULLIVAN SUMNER TROUSDALE
UNICOI UNION VAN BUREN
WASHINGTON WHITE WILSON
$$
VAC105-167-169-191-195-520-720-042240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.