Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 658
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF JOPLIN MISSOURI TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
EVANSVILLE INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 657...
DISCUSSION...SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SWD ACROSS
WW THROUGH THE EVENING INTO AN AXIS OF EXTREME INSTABILITY. AREA
REMAINS ALONG FRINGE OF MODERATE NWLY FLOW ALOFT AND SHEAR WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED LINES/CLUSTERS...AS WELL AS SUPERCELLS.
PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...AS WELL
AS HEAVY RAINFALL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 33025.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 658 SEVERE TSTM IL KS KY MO 042010Z - 050300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
10SSW JLN/JOPLIN MO/ - 45SSE EVV/EVANSVILLE IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /31ESE OSW - 40SE PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33025.
LAT...LON 37819456 38228722 36638722 36229456
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 658 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NW FLP TO
30 NW UNO TO 50 NE UNO TO 25 W CGI TO 10 SW PAH TO 5 ESE CKV.
WW 658 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 050300Z. THREAT IS
TRANSITIONING FROM SVR TO HEAVY RAIN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS 1780-1781.
..EDWARDS..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-153-050300-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER PULASKI
$$
KYC007-035-039-075-083-105-145-157-221-050300-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALLOWAY CARLISLE
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL TRIGG
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-067-091-093-133-143-149-153-179-181-201-203-
207-215-223-050300-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DOUGLAS HOWELL
IRON MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
OREGON OZARK REYNOLDS
RIPLEY SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD TEXAS WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW JLN TO
15 E SGF TO 35 SE VIH TO 25 SE FAM TO 25 NNW PAH TO 30 NE HOP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1780.
..EDWARDS..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-087-127-151-153-181-050240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER JOHNSON MASSAC
POPE PULASKI UNION
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-219-221-
050240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL TODD TRIGG
$$
MOC009-017-023-031-035-043-065-067-091-093-119-123-133-143-145-
149-153-179-181-201-203-207-209-213-215-223-229-050240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BOLLINGER BUTLER
CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER CHRISTIAN
DENT DOUGLAS HOWELL
IRON MCDONALD MADISON
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID NEWTON
OREGON OZARK REYNOLDS
RIPLEY SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD STONE TANEY
TEXAS WAYNE WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 658
VALID 050035Z - 050140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW BLV
TO 25 SSE MDH TO 25 NW HOP TO 20 S OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1778.
..EDWARDS..08/05/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-077-087-127-151-153-157-181-050140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER JACKSON JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
RANDOLPH UNION
$$
KSC021-037-050140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
KYC007-035-039-047-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-177-219-221-
050140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CHRISTIAN FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MOC009-011-017-023-031-035-039-043-055-057-059-065-067-077-091-
093-097-105-109-119-123-133-143-145-149-153-157-161-167-169-179-
181-186-187-201-203-207-209-213-215-221-223-225-229-050140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BOLLINGER
BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER
CEDAR CHRISTIAN CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL
IRON JASPER LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MADISON
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PERRY
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
REYNOLDS RIPLEY STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD STONE TANEY
TEXAS WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 658
VALID 042330Z - 050040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW BLV
TO 20 S MDH TO 30 ENE PAH TO 40 WSW OWB TO 5 N OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1778.
..EDWARDS..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-077-087-127-151-153-157-181-050040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER JACKSON JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
RANDOLPH UNION
$$
KSC021-037-050040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
219-221-233-050040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG WEBSTER
$$
MOC009-011-017-023-031-035-039-043-055-057-059-065-067-077-091-
093-097-105-109-119-123-133-143-145-149-153-157-161-167-169-179-
181-186-187-201-203-207-209-213-215-221-223-225-229-050040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BOLLINGER
BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER
CEDAR CHRISTIAN CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL
IRON JASPER LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MADISON
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PERRY
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
REYNOLDS RIPLEY STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD STONE TANEY
TEXAS WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 658
VALID 042250Z - 042340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE BLV TO
5 NNE MDH TO 30 ESE MDH TO 45 WSW EVV TO 25 NE EVV.
..EDWARDS..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-059-069-077-087-127-145-151-153-157-165-181-199-042340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JACKSON JOHNSON MASSAC
PERRY POPE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SALINE UNION
WILLIAMSON
$$
KSC021-037-042340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
219-221-225-233-042340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC009-011-017-023-031-035-039-043-055-057-059-065-067-077-091-
093-097-105-109-119-123-133-143-145-149-153-157-161-167-169-179-
181-186-187-201-203-207-209-213-215-221-223-225-229-042340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BOLLINGER
BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER
CEDAR CHRISTIAN CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL
IRON JASPER LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MADISON
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PERRY
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
REYNOLDS RIPLEY STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD STONE TANEY
TEXAS WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 658
VALID 042140Z - 042240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-055-059-069-077-087-127-145-151-153-157-165-181-199-
042240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER FRANKLIN GALLATIN
HARDIN JACKSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI RANDOLPH SALINE
UNION WILLIAMSON
$$
KSC021-037-042240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
219-221-225-233-042240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC009-011-017-023-031-035-039-043-055-057-059-065-067-077-091-
093-097-105-109-119-123-133-143-145-149-153-157-161-167-169-179-
181-186-187-201-203-207-209-213-215-221-223-225-229-042240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BOLLINGER
BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER
CEDAR CHRISTIAN CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL
IRON JASPER LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MADISON
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PERRY
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
REYNOLDS RIPLEY STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD STONE TANEY
TEXAS WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 658
VALID 042030Z - 042140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..08/04/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-055-059-069-077-087-127-145-151-153-157-165-181-199-
042140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER FRANKLIN GALLATIN
HARDIN JACKSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI RANDOLPH SALINE
UNION WILLIAMSON
$$
KSC021-037-042140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
219-221-225-233-042140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC009-011-017-023-031-035-039-043-055-057-059-065-067-077-091-
093-097-105-109-119-123-133-143-145-149-153-157-161-167-169-179-
181-186-187-201-203-207-209-213-215-221-223-225-229-042140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BOLLINGER
BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER
CEDAR CHRISTIAN CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL
IRON JASPER LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MADISON
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PERRY
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
REYNOLDS RIPLEY STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD STONE TANEY
TEXAS WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.