Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 125
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Illinois
Extreme Southeast Kansas
Central and Southern Missouri
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage and intensity is expected to
increase over the next few hours along and ahead of a cold front
moving southeastward through the region. Environmental conditions
support strong to severe storms. Storms along the front will likely
grow into a convective line, with damaging gusts from 45 to 65 mph
as the primary hazard. More cellular development is possible ahead
of the line, with large hail up to 2" in diameter as the primary
hazard. A tornado or two is also possible, particularly within
intense portions of the convective line.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north
northwest of Joplin MO to 20 miles east southeast of Salem IL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Mosier
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 125
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Illinois
Extreme Southeast Kansas
Central and Southern Missouri
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage and intensity is expected to
increase over the next few hours along and ahead of a cold front
moving southeastward through the region. Environmental conditions
support strong to severe storms. Storms along the front will likely
grow into a convective line, with damaging gusts from 45 to 65 mph
as the primary hazard. More cellular development is possible ahead
of the line, with large hail up to 2" in diameter as the primary
hazard. A tornado or two is also possible, particularly within
intense portions of the convective line.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north
northwest of Joplin MO to 20 miles east southeast of Salem IL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Mosier
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 125 SEVERE TSTM IL KS MO 181755Z - 190100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20NNW JLN/JOPLIN MO/ - 20ESE SLO/SALEM IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /31ENE OSW - 55NW PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 38439464 39558863 37538863 36409464
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 125 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 125
VALID 182325Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S UMN TO
10 NNE STL TO 45 WSW SPI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 488
..THORNTON..04/18/24
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-021-025-027-047-049-051-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-
117-119-121-127-133-135-137-145-151-153-157-163-165-167-171-173-
181-185-189-191-193-199-190040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CHRISTIAN
CLAY CLINTON EDWARDS
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MACOUPIN MADISON MARION
MASSAC MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN PERRY POPE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SALINE SANGAMON SCOTT
SHELBY UNION WABASH
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-043-055-065-067-091-093-099-123-149-153-157-
161-179-181-186-187-189-201-203-207-209-213-215-221-223-229-510-
190040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CHRISTIAN CRAWFORD
DENT DOUGLAS HOWELL
IRON JEFFERSON MADISON
OREGON OZARK PERRY
PHELPS REYNOLDS RIPLEY
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS
SCOTT SHANNON STODDARD
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WASHINGTON WAYNE WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 125
VALID 182230Z - 182340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW JLN TO
15 NNE COU.
..THORNTON..04/18/24
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-013-021-025-027-047-049-051-055-059-061-065-069-077-
081-083-087-117-119-121-127-133-135-137-145-149-151-153-157-163-
165-167-171-173-181-185-189-191-193-199-182340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CALHOUN
CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON
EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON JERSEY JOHNSON
MACOUPIN MADISON MARION
MASSAC MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN PERRY PIKE
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE SANGAMON
SCOTT SHELBY UNION
WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC007-009-017-023-027-031-035-043-051-055-065-067-071-073-077-
091-093-099-105-109-113-119-123-125-139-145-149-151-153-157-161-
163-169-179-181-183-186-187-189-201-203-207-209-213-215-219-221-
223-225-229-510-182340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BOLLINGER
BUTLER CALLAWAY CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CHRISTIAN COLE
CRAWFORD DENT DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GASCONADE GREENE
HOWELL IRON JEFFERSON
LACLEDE LAWRENCE LINCOLN
MCDONALD MADISON MARIES
MONTGOMERY NEWTON OREGON
OSAGE OZARK PERRY
PHELPS PIKE PULASKI
REYNOLDS RIPLEY ST. CHARLES
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS
SCOTT SHANNON STODDARD
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 125
VALID 182230Z - 182340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW JLN TO
15 NNE COU.
..THORNTON..04/18/24
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-013-021-025-027-047-049-051-055-059-061-065-069-077-
081-083-087-117-119-121-127-133-135-137-145-149-151-153-157-163-
165-167-171-173-181-185-189-191-193-199-182340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CALHOUN
CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON
EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON JERSEY JOHNSON
MACOUPIN MADISON MARION
MASSAC MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN PERRY PIKE
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE SANGAMON
SCOTT SHELBY UNION
WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC007-009-017-023-027-031-035-043-051-055-065-067-071-073-077-
091-093-099-105-109-113-119-123-125-139-145-149-151-153-157-161-
163-169-179-181-183-186-187-189-201-203-207-209-213-215-219-221-
223-225-229-510-182340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BOLLINGER
BUTLER CALLAWAY CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CHRISTIAN COLE
CRAWFORD DENT DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GASCONADE GREENE
HOWELL IRON JEFFERSON
LACLEDE LAWRENCE LINCOLN
MCDONALD MADISON MARIES
MONTGOMERY NEWTON OREGON
OSAGE OZARK PERRY
PHELPS PIKE PULASKI
REYNOLDS RIPLEY ST. CHARLES
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS
SCOTT SHANNON STODDARD
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 125
VALID 182020Z - 182140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW JLN TO
5 NNW COU.
..GOSS..04/18/24
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-013-021-025-027-049-051-055-061-065-077-081-083-117-
119-121-133-135-145-157-163-173-181-189-191-199-182140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CALHOUN
CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GREENE HAMILTON JACKSON
JEFFERSON JERSEY MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SHELBY UNION
WASHINGTON WAYNE WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC007-009-017-023-027-029-031-035-039-043-051-055-057-059-065-
067-071-073-077-085-091-093-097-099-105-109-113-119-123-125-131-
135-139-141-145-149-151-153-157-161-163-167-169-179-181-183-186-
187-189-201-203-207-209-213-215-219-221-223-225-229-510-
182140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BOLLINGER
BUTLER CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER CEDAR
CHRISTIAN COLE CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN GASCONADE
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
IRON JASPER JEFFERSON
LACLEDE LAWRENCE LINCOLN
MCDONALD MADISON MARIES
MILLER MONITEAU MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NEWTON OREGON
OSAGE OZARK PERRY
PHELPS PIKE POLK
PULASKI REYNOLDS RIPLEY
ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
ST. LOUIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD STONE TANEY
TEXAS WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WEBSTER WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 125
VALID 181920Z - 182040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW JLN
TO 25 W COU.
..GOSS..04/18/24
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-013-021-025-027-049-051-055-061-065-077-081-083-117-
119-121-133-135-145-157-163-173-181-189-191-199-182040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CALHOUN
CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GREENE HAMILTON JACKSON
JEFFERSON JERSEY MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SHELBY UNION
WASHINGTON WAYNE WILLIAMSON
$$
KSC021-182040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE
$$
MOC007-009-011-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-035-039-043-051-055-
057-059-065-067-071-073-077-085-091-093-097-099-105-109-113-119-
123-125-131-135-139-141-145-149-151-153-157-161-163-167-169-179-
181-183-185-186-187-189-201-203-207-209-213-215-219-221-223-225-
229-510-182040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BARTON
BENTON BOLLINGER BOONE
BUTLER CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER CEDAR
CHRISTIAN COLE CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN GASCONADE
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
IRON JASPER JEFFERSON
LACLEDE LAWRENCE LINCOLN
MCDONALD MADISON MARIES
MILLER MONITEAU MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NEWTON OREGON
OSAGE OZARK PERRY
PHELPS PIKE POLK
PULASKI REYNOLDS RIPLEY
ST. CHARLES ST. CLAIR STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS SCOTT
SHANNON STODDARD STONE
TANEY TEXAS WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.