Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 126
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Arkansas
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms coverage and intensity is expected to
increase along a cold front currently moving southeastward across
eastern Oklahoma. Robust buoyancy and strong vertical shear will
support supercells capable of hail up to 2" in diameter and damaging
gusts from 45 to 65 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles west southwest
of De Queen AR to 30 miles north northeast of Fayetteville AR. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 125...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Mosier
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 126 SEVERE TSTM AR OK 182035Z - 190400Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25WSW DEQ/DE QUEEN AR/ - 30NNE FYV/FAYETTEVILLE AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /44WNW TXK - 12NE RZC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 33919576 36409495 36409297 33919384
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 126 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 126
VALID 190330Z - 190440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N HOT TO
35 SE FSM TO 40 NW RUE TO 15 SSW FLP.
..DEAN..04/19/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC071-083-115-149-190440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON LOGAN POPE
YELL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 126
VALID 190205Z - 190340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW PRX TO
20 SSE RKR TO 30 SE FYV TO 25 WSW UNO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 490
..DEAN..04/19/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC047-057-061-071-081-083-087-097-101-109-113-115-127-133-149-
190340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
JOHNSON LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
MADISON MONTGOMERY NEWTON
PIKE POLK POPE
SCOTT SEVIER YELL
$$
OKC089-190340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 126
VALID 190030Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE DUA
TO 45 SE MLC TO 25 NNE FSM TO 25 S UMN.
..THORNTON..04/19/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC009-015-047-057-061-071-081-083-087-097-101-109-113-115-127-
131-133-149-190140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CARROLL FRANKLIN
HEMPSTEAD HOWARD JOHNSON
LITTLE RIVER LOGAN MADISON
MONTGOMERY NEWTON PIKE
POLK POPE SCOTT
SEBASTIAN SEVIER YELL
$$
OKC023-079-089-190140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 126
VALID 182330Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S MLC TO
25 W RKR TO 15 NW FSM TO 30 SSW UMN.
..THORNTON..04/18/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC009-015-033-047-057-061-071-081-083-087-097-101-109-113-115-
127-131-133-143-149-190040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
JOHNSON LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
MADISON MONTGOMERY NEWTON
PIKE POLK POPE
SCOTT SEBASTIAN SEVIER
WASHINGTON YELL
$$
OKC023-079-089-127-190040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
PUSHMATAHA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 126
VALID 182235Z - 182340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..04/18/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-009-015-033-047-057-061-071-081-083-087-097-101-109-113-
115-127-131-133-143-149-182340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOONE CARROLL
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN HEMPSTEAD
HOWARD JOHNSON LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN MADISON MONTGOMERY
NEWTON PIKE POLK
POPE SCOTT SEBASTIAN
SEVIER WASHINGTON YELL
$$
OKC001-021-023-061-077-079-089-121-127-135-182340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.