Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 537
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East central and southeast Kansas
West central and southwest Missouri
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 510 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to develop from southwest
Missouri into eastern Kansas along a slow-moving outflow boundary.
Strong instability is present south of the boundary, which will
support some expansion and intensification of the storms through
this evening. Transient supercell structures may occur in the first
couple of hours of the watch, when an isolated/brief tornado cannot
be ruled out with storms along the boundary. Otherwise, storms will
evolve into multicell clusters with the primary threats of damaging
outflow winds and marginally severe hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west southwest
of Emporia KS to 50 miles east northeast of Springfield MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
31020.
...Thompson
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 537
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East central and southeast Kansas
West central and southwest Missouri
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 510 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to develop from southwest
Missouri into eastern Kansas along a slow-moving outflow boundary.
Strong instability is present south of the boundary, which will
support some expansion and intensification of the storms through
this evening. Transient supercell structures may occur in the first
couple of hours of the watch, when an isolated/brief tornado cannot
be ruled out with storms along the boundary. Otherwise, storms will
evolve into multicell clusters with the primary threats of damaging
outflow winds and marginally severe hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west southwest
of Emporia KS to 50 miles east northeast of Springfield MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
31020.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 537 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 212210Z - 220500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70WSW EMP/EMPORIA KS/ - 50ENE SGF/SPRINGFIELD MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /15NE ICT - 39ENE SGF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31020.
LAT...LON 38799737 38369254 36639254 37069737
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 537 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 537
VALID 220425Z - 220540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NNW GMJ TO
15 WNW UMN TO 15 NNW SGF TO 10 S TBN.
..LEITMAN..07/22/19
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC009-043-067-077-109-119-153-209-213-225-229-220540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DOUGLAS
GREENE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
OZARK STONE TANEY
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 537
VALID 220250Z - 220340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE PNC TO
30 SSW CNU TO 30 E CNU TO 50 NNW SGF TO 15 NW TBN.
..LEITMAN..07/22/19
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC019-021-037-099-125-220340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
LABETTE MONTGOMERY
$$
MOC009-011-039-043-057-059-067-077-097-105-109-119-145-153-167-
209-213-225-229-220340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON CEDAR
CHRISTIAN DADE DALLAS
DOUGLAS GREENE JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
NEWTON OZARK POLK
STONE TANEY WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 537
VALID 220125Z - 220240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE HUT TO
55 N JLN TO 40 WNW TBN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1565.
..LEITMAN..07/22/19
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-173-191-205-
207-220240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY
CRAWFORD ELK GREENWOOD
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
SEDGWICK SUMNER WILSON
WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-145-153-
167-185-209-213-217-225-229-220240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON CEDAR
CHRISTIAN DADE DALLAS
DOUGLAS GREENE HICKORY
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD NEWTON OZARK
POLK ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY VERNON WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 537
VALID 220045Z - 220140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..07/22/19
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-049-059-073-079-099-
107-111-113-115-121-125-127-133-139-205-207-220140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE COFFEY COWLEY
CRAWFORD ELK FRANKLIN
GREENWOOD HARVEY LABETTE
LINN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MIAMI MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEOSHO OSAGE
WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-013-037-039-043-057-059-067-077-083-085-097-105-109-
119-145-153-167-185-209-213-217-225-229-220140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
CASS CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HENRY HICKORY
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD NEWTON OZARK
POLK ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY VERNON WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 537
VALID 212320Z - 220040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..07/21/19
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 537
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-049-059-073-079-099-
107-111-113-115-121-125-127-133-139-205-207-220040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE COFFEY COWLEY
CRAWFORD ELK FRANKLIN
GREENWOOD HARVEY LABETTE
LINN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MIAMI MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEOSHO OSAGE
WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-013-037-039-043-057-059-067-077-083-085-097-105-109-
119-145-153-167-185-209-213-217-225-229-220040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
CASS CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HENRY HICKORY
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD NEWTON OZARK
POLK ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY VERNON WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.