Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 414
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Western Kansas
Western and Southwest Nebraska
Northeast New Mexico
The Far Western Oklahoma Panhandle
The Northwest Texas Panhandle
Far Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop and pose a threat
for large hail around 1-2 inches in diameter this afternoon. With
time, thunderstorms should consolidate into a bowing cluster moving
east-northeastward, with a greater threat for severe/damaging winds
around 60-80 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles southwest of
Clayton NM to 40 miles north of Sidney NE. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 413...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
22035.
...Gleason
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 414
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Western Kansas
Western and Southwest Nebraska
Northeast New Mexico
The Far Western Oklahoma Panhandle
The Northwest Texas Panhandle
Far Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop and pose a threat
for large hail around 1-2 inches in diameter this afternoon. With
time, thunderstorms should consolidate into a bowing cluster moving
east-northeastward, with a greater threat for severe/damaging winds
around 60-80 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles southwest of
Clayton NM to 40 miles north of Sidney NE. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 413...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
22035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 414 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE NM OK TX WY 142010Z - 150300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SW CAO/CLAYTON NM/ - 40N SNY/SIDNEY NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /52N TCC - 26ESE BFF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 36030509 41670453 41670143 36030222
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 414 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 414
VALID 150150Z - 150240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE GLD
TO 15 ESE AIA.
..THORNTON..06/15/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...LBF...CYS...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 414
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-029-069-101-135-150240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR CHASE GARDEN
KEITH PERKINS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 414
VALID 150100Z - 150240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE TCC
TO 40 N EHA TO AIA.
..THORNTON..06/15/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...LBF...CYS...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 414
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC095-115-125-150240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PHILLIPS SEDGWICK YUMA
$$
KSC023-071-181-199-150240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY SHERMAN
WALLACE
$$
NEC005-029-049-057-069-101-135-150240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR CHASE DEUEL
DUNDY GARDEN KEITH
PERKINS
$$
OKC025-139-150240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-205-150240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 414
VALID 142335Z - 150040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE LVS
TO 15 SW LAA TO 20 SSE TOR.
..THORNTON..06/14/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...LBF...CYS...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 414
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-017-061-063-075-095-099-115-121-125-150040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA CHEYENNE KIOWA
KIT CARSON LOGAN PHILLIPS
PROWERS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON
YUMA
$$
KSC023-071-181-199-150040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY SHERMAN
WALLACE
$$
NEC005-007-029-033-049-057-069-101-105-123-135-157-150040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER CHASE
CHEYENNE DEUEL DUNDY
GARDEN KEITH KIMBALL
MORRILL PERKINS SCOTTS BLUFF
$$
NMC021-059-150040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDING UNION
$$
OKC025-150040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON
$$
TXC111-205-150040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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