Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 711
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Louisiana
East Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM until
700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify this afternoon
and evening, while posing a threat for large hail, damaging winds,
and tornadoes. There is also a threat for strong tornadoes through
this evening with any supercells that can be sustained.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles west of Lufkin TX to 40
miles southeast of Monroe LA. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Gleason
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 711
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Louisiana
East Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM until
700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify this afternoon
and evening, while posing a threat for large hail, damaging winds,
and tornadoes. There is also a threat for strong tornadoes through
this evening with any supercells that can be sustained.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles west of Lufkin TX to 40
miles southeast of Monroe LA. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 711 TORNADO AR LA TX 201845Z - 210100Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40W LFK/LUFKIN TX/ - 40SE MLU/MONROE LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /37W LFK - 35SE MLU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 32469543 33349155 30889155 30009543
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 711 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 711
VALID 202325Z - 210040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE BPT
TO 15 N POE TO 25 NNW HEZ.
..SQUITIERI..11/20/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-035-039-053-059-065-079-097-107-
210040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL EVANGELINE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE MADISON
RAPIDES ST. LANDRY TENSAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 711
VALID 202215Z - 202340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW BPT TO
40 W POE TO 10 ENE IER TO 35 ESE MLU.
..SQUITIERI..11/20/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-021-025-029-035-039-041-043-049-053-059-
065-067-069-073-079-083-097-107-115-123-127-202340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CALDWELL
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES RICHLAND
ST. LANDRY TENSAS VERNON
WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
TXC351-361-202340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEWTON ORANGE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 711
VALID 202130Z - 202240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW BPT
TO 25 NNW IER TO 40 SW GLH.
..SQUITIERI..11/20/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-202240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-021-025-029-035-039-041-043-049-053-059-
065-067-069-073-079-083-085-097-107-115-123-127-202240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CALDWELL
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES RICHLAND
SABINE ST. LANDRY TENSAS
VERNON WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
TXC199-241-351-361-403-202240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER NEWTON
ORANGE SABINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 711
VALID 202125Z - 202240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW BPT
TO 25 NNW IER TO 40 SW GLH.
..SQUITIERI..11/20/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-202240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-021-025-029-035-039-041-043-049-053-059-
065-067-069-073-079-083-085-097-107-115-123-127-202240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CALDWELL
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES RICHLAND
SABINE ST. LANDRY TENSAS
VERNON WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
TXC199-241-351-361-403-202240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER NEWTON
ORANGE SABINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.