Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 68
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM CDT Thu Mar 16 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
southern Oklahoma
north central Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue to increase and
intensify across the Tornado Watch area through late afternoon. A
couple of supercells are possible early along the Red River
vicinity, and southward into portions of north central Texas, before
storms consolidate into a line or cluster while developing
east-southeastward into early evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles west of Mcalester OK to 15
miles east southeast of Stephenville TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.
...Kerr
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 68
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM CDT Thu Mar 16 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
southern Oklahoma
north central Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue to increase and
intensify across the Tornado Watch area through late afternoon. A
couple of supercells are possible early along the Red River
vicinity, and southward into portions of north central Texas, before
storms consolidate into a line or cluster while developing
east-southeastward into early evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles west of Mcalester OK to 15
miles east southeast of Stephenville TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.
...Kerr
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 68 TORNADO OK TX 161830Z - 170100Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10W MLC/MCALESTER OK/ - 15ESE SEP/STEPHENVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /9WNW MLC - 45NW ACT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 34879428 32139632 32139957 34879763
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 68 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 68
VALID 170040Z - 170140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW SEP
TO 40 N ACT TO 5 N PRX TO 35 S RKR TO 15 E FSM.
..DEAN..03/17/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 68
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-099-119-139-193-217-223-231-257-277-281-309-333-379-
397-170140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE CORYELL
DELTA ELLIS HAMILTON
HILL HOPKINS HUNT
KAUFMAN LAMAR LAMPASAS
MCLENNAN MILLS RAINS
ROCKWALL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 68
VALID 162335Z - 170040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW BWD TO
30 ENE SEP TO 25 S GYI TO 15 WNW RKR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 296
..DEAN..03/16/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 68
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC023-079-127-170040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW LE FLORE PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC027-035-085-093-099-113-119-139-147-193-217-223-231-251-257-
277-281-309-333-379-397-439-170040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE COLLIN
COMANCHE CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA ELLIS FANNIN
HAMILTON HILL HOPKINS
HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR LAMPASAS MCLENNAN
MILLS RAINS ROCKWALL
TARRANT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 68
VALID 162245Z - 162340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SE ABI TO
10 S MWL TO 30 N FTW TO 30 SSE MKO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 296
..DEAN..03/16/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 68
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-023-077-079-127-162340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
LATIMER LE FLORE PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC027-035-085-093-099-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-217-
221-223-231-251-257-277-281-309-333-367-379-397-425-439-
162340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE COLLIN
COMANCHE CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FANNIN
GRAYSON HAMILTON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
LAMPASAS MCLENNAN MILLS
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL TARRANT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 68
VALID 162145Z - 162240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE ABI TO
45 NNW FTW TO 30 WNW MLC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 293
..DEAN..03/16/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 68
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-023-029-069-077-079-085-095-121-127-162240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
COAL JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LOVE MARSHALL
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC027-035-085-093-097-099-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-
217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-281-309-333-363-367-379-397-425-
429-439-497-503-162240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE COLLIN
COMANCHE COOKE CORYELL
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FANNIN GRAYSON HAMILTON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HUNT JACK JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LAMAR LAMPASAS
MCLENNAN MILLS PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 68
VALID 162030Z - 162140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW SPS TO
15 ESE SPS TO 30 NNW ADM TO 35 WNW MLC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 293.
..LEITMAN..03/16/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 68
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-067-069-077-079-085-095-099-121-123-127-
162140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC009-035-077-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-217-
221-223-231-237-251-257-277-337-363-367-379-397-425-429-439-497-
503-162140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BOSQUE CLAY
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FANNIN GRAYSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 68
VALID 161925Z - 162040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM 60
WSW SPS TO 15 WNW SPS TO 15 S FSI TO 35 SSE CHK TO 35 SE OKC TO
25 SE CQB.
..FLOURNOY..03/16/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 68
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-033-049-067-069-077-079-085-095-099-121-
123-127-137-162040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL COTTON
GARVIN JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE
MARSHALL MURRAY PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-035-077-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-217-
221-223-231-237-251-257-277-337-363-367-379-397-425-429-439-485-
497-503-162040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BOSQUE CLAY
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FANNIN GRAYSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
WICHITA WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.