Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 65
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
640 PM CST Sat Mar 11 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 640 PM
until 200 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms forming over southeast Oklahoma will track
east-southeastward through the evening, posing a risk of large hail
and perhaps damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles southwest of
Mcalester OK to 45 miles northeast of El Dorado AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Hart
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 65
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
640 PM CST Sat Mar 11 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 640 PM
until 200 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms forming over southeast Oklahoma will track
east-southeastward through the evening, posing a risk of large hail
and perhaps damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles southwest of
Mcalester OK to 45 miles northeast of El Dorado AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 65 SEVERE TSTM AR OK TX 120040Z - 120800Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40SW MLC/MCALESTER OK/ - 45NE ELD/EL DORADO AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /34SW MLC - 35NE ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 35189628 34409227 32969227 33759628
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 65 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 65
VALID 120735Z - 120840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW TXK
TO 35 NE TXK TO 25 W LLQ.
..BROYLES..03/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-073-091-099-139-120840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD LAFAYETTE
MILLER NEVADA UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 65
VALID 120640Z - 120740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE PRX
TO 35 E DEQ TO 15 WSW PBF.
..BROYLES..03/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-025-027-039-041-043-057-069-073-079-081-091-099-
103-139-120740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS
DESHA DREW HEMPSTEAD
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
LITTLE RIVER MILLER NEVADA
OUACHITA UNION
$$
TXC037-120740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 65
VALID 120530Z - 120640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE PRX
TO 10 NNW DEQ TO 40 WSW PBF TO 20 ESE LIT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 276
..MOORE..03/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-025-027-041-043-057-061-069-073-079-081-091-099-
103-133-139-120640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DESHA
DREW HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
LITTLE RIVER MILLER NEVADA
OUACHITA SEVIER UNION
$$
TXC037-120640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 65
VALID 120435Z - 120540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSE PRX TO
20 WNW DEQ TO 15 WSW LIT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 276
..MOORE..03/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-019-025-027-039-053-057-059-061-073-081-091-099-103-
109-133-139-120540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA OUACHITA
PIKE SEVIER UNION
$$
OKC089-120540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-120540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 65
VALID 120330Z - 120440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W PRX TO
15 SSE FSM.
..MOORE..03/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-019-025-027-039-051-053-057-059-061-073-081-091-097-
099-103-109-113-127-133-139-120440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD LAFAYETTE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONTGOMERY
NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE
POLK SCOTT SEVIER
UNION
$$
OKC089-120440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-120440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 65
VALID 120245Z - 120340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE GYI
TO 25 ESE MKO.
..MOORE..03/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-019-025-027-039-051-053-057-059-061-073-081-091-097-
099-103-109-113-127-133-139-120340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD LAFAYETTE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONTGOMERY
NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE
POLK SCOTT SEVIER
UNION
$$
OKC023-077-079-089-127-120340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC037-120340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 65
VALID 120210Z - 120340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE ADM TO
30 SSE MKO.
..MOORE..03/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 65
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-019-025-027-039-051-053-057-059-061-073-081-091-097-
099-103-109-113-127-133-139-120340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD LAFAYETTE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER MONTGOMERY
NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE
POLK SCOTT SEVIER
UNION
$$
OKC005-013-023-029-077-079-089-121-127-120340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
COAL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC037-120340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.