Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 126
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of western into central Kansas
Southern Nebraska
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 540 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of severe storms are expected to develop this
evening along a cold front, and as outflow surges eastward from
Colorado. The predominant storm mode will be multicell clusters
with the potential for a swath of damaging outflow winds across
Kansas, with isolated significant gusts possible through late
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles southwest of
Goodland KS to 50 miles east northeast of Russell KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 124...WW 125...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Thompson
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 126
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of western into central Kansas
Southern Nebraska
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 540 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of severe storms are expected to develop this
evening along a cold front, and as outflow surges eastward from
Colorado. The predominant storm mode will be multicell clusters
with the potential for a swath of damaging outflow winds across
Kansas, with isolated significant gusts possible through late
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles southwest of
Goodland KS to 50 miles east northeast of Russell KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 124...WW 125...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 126 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 022240Z - 030500Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25SW GLD/GOODLAND KS/ - 50ENE RSL/RUSSELL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /23SW GLD - 20NW SLN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 40180203 40229796 38059796 38020203
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 126 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 126
VALID 030455Z - 030540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW P28
TO 45 S RSL TO 15 SW SLN.
..GLEASON..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...ICT...GLD...DDC...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC159-185-030540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RICE STAFFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 126
VALID 030345Z - 030440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE DDC
TO 45 SW RSL TO 15 WSW RSL TO 45 E HLC TO 30 SSW HSI TO 20 E HSI
TO 25 WNW LNK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 483
..GLEASON..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...ICT...GLD...DDC...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-047-053-089-105-123-141-145-159-165-167-183-185-030440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON EDWARDS ELLSWORTH
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
OSBORNE PAWNEE RICE
RUSH RUSSELL SMITH
STAFFORD
$$
NEC035-059-129-169-181-185-030440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY FILLMORE NUCKOLLS
THAYER WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 126
VALID 030240Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW DDC
TO 55 SSW HLC TO 20 SE HLC TO 50 SSW EAR TO 20 SSW EAR TO 15 ESE
GRI TO 25 NW LNK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 482
..GLEASON..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...ICT...GLD...DDC...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-047-051-053-057-083-089-105-123-135-141-145-147-159-163-
165-167-183-185-195-030340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FORD HODGEMAN
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
NESS OSBORNE PAWNEE
PHILLIPS RICE ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SMITH
STAFFORD TREGO
$$
NEC001-035-059-061-081-083-099-129-169-181-185-030340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAY FILLMORE
FRANKLIN HAMILTON HARLAN
KEARNEY NUCKOLLS THAYER
WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 126
VALID 030145Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW LBL
TO 5 WSW GCK TO 25 NNW GCK TO 45 NNW GCK TO 55 SE GLD TO 15 NW
HLC TO 30 ESE MCK TO 40 SW EAR TO 15 E EAR TO 10 E GRI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 482
..GLEASON..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...ICT...GLD...DDC...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-047-051-053-055-057-063-065-069-081-083-089-101-105-109-
123-135-137-141-145-147-159-163-165-167-171-179-183-185-195-
030240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FINNEY FORD
GOVE GRAHAM GRAY
HASKELL HODGEMAN JEWELL
LANE LINCOLN LOGAN
MITCHELL NESS NORTON
OSBORNE PAWNEE PHILLIPS
RICE ROOKS RUSH
RUSSELL SCOTT SHERIDAN
SMITH STAFFORD TREGO
$$
NEC001-035-059-061-065-079-081-083-099-129-137-143-169-181-185-
030240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAY FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FURNAS HALL
HAMILTON HARLAN KEARNEY
NUCKOLLS PHELPS POLK
THAYER WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 126
VALID 030055Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW GCK
TO 30 SE GLD TO 45 SSW MCK TO 25 NE MCK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 481
..GLEASON..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...ICT...GLD...DDC...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-039-047-051-053-055-063-065-083-089-093-101-105-109-123-
135-137-141-145-147-159-163-165-167-171-179-183-185-193-195-203-
030140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON DECATUR EDWARDS
ELLIS ELLSWORTH FINNEY
GOVE GRAHAM HODGEMAN
JEWELL KEARNY LANE
LINCOLN LOGAN MITCHELL
NESS NORTON OSBORNE
PAWNEE PHILLIPS RICE
ROOKS RUSH RUSSELL
SCOTT SHERIDAN SMITH
STAFFORD THOMAS TREGO
WICHITA
$$
NEC001-035-059-061-065-073-079-081-083-099-129-137-143-145-169-
181-185-030140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAY FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FURNAS GOSPER
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
KEARNEY NUCKOLLS PHELPS
POLK RED WILLOW THAYER
WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 126
VALID 022355Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE ITR TO
15 SSE GLD TO 40 WSW MCK TO 20 NNE MCK.
..GLEASON..05/02/21
ATTN...WFO...ICT...GLD...DDC...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 126
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-039-047-051-053-055-063-065-071-075-083-089-093-101-105-
109-123-135-137-141-145-147-153-159-163-165-167-171-179-181-183-
185-193-195-199-203-030040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON DECATUR EDWARDS
ELLIS ELLSWORTH FINNEY
GOVE GRAHAM GREELEY
HAMILTON HODGEMAN JEWELL
KEARNY LANE LINCOLN
LOGAN MITCHELL NESS
NORTON OSBORNE PAWNEE
PHILLIPS RAWLINS RICE
ROOKS RUSH RUSSELL
SCOTT SHERIDAN SHERMAN
SMITH STAFFORD THOMAS
TREGO WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC001-035-059-061-065-073-079-081-083-087-099-129-137-143-145-
169-181-185-030040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAY FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FURNAS GOSPER
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HITCHCOCK KEARNEY NUCKOLLS
PHELPS POLK RED WILLOW
THAYER WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.