Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 125
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
West central Alabama
Extreme southeastern Arkansas
Extreme northeastern Louisiana
Parts of central and northern Mississippi
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered low-topped supercells are expected in a loose
arc/cluster from northeastern Louisiana into central and parts of
northern Mississippi this evening, and a somewhat separate zone of
low-topped supercells may persist for a few more hours along a
surface warm front across west central Alabama. The stronger storms
may produce a couple of tornadoes, along with isolated damaging
winds and marginally severe hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles south southwest of
Greenville MS to 20 miles southeast of Tuscaloosa AL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 124...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.
...Thompson
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 125
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
West central Alabama
Extreme southeastern Arkansas
Extreme northeastern Louisiana
Parts of central and northern Mississippi
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered low-topped supercells are expected in a loose
arc/cluster from northeastern Louisiana into central and parts of
northern Mississippi this evening, and a somewhat separate zone of
low-topped supercells may persist for a few more hours along a
surface warm front across west central Alabama. The stronger storms
may produce a couple of tornadoes, along with isolated damaging
winds and marginally severe hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles south southwest of
Greenville MS to 20 miles southeast of Tuscaloosa AL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 124...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 125 TORNADO AL AR LA MS 022145Z - 030300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25SSW GLH/GREENVILLE MS/ - 20SE TCL/TUSCALOOSA AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /48WSW SQS - 46SSW VUZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 34009115 33888738 32158738 32279115
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 125 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 125
VALID 030145Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 W MEI TO
65 S GWO TO 45 S GWO TO 20 SE GWO TO 30 NE GWO TO 30 S UOX TO 15
SSE UOX TO 15 ENE UOX.
..LYONS..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC057-075-107-125-030240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE LAMAR PICKENS
TUSCALOOSA
$$
MSC007-013-017-019-025-051-069-079-087-095-097-099-101-103-105-
123-155-159-030240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CALHOUN CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAY HOLMES
KEMPER LEAKE LOWNDES
MONROE MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
SCOTT WEBSTER WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 125
VALID 030045Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE HEZ
TO 50 NNE HEZ TO 50 S GLH TO 25 S GWO TO 10 N GWO TO 40 NNW GWO
TO 35 SSW MEM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 480
..LYONS..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC057-063-075-107-119-125-030140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE GREENE LAMAR
PICKENS SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
$$
MSC007-013-015-017-019-025-043-049-051-069-075-079-087-089-095-
097-099-101-103-105-121-123-135-149-155-159-161-163-030140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAY
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
KEMPER LAUDERDALE LEAKE
LOWNDES MADISON MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA RANKIN
SCOTT TALLAHATCHIE WARREN
WEBSTER WINSTON YALOBUSHA
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 125
VALID 022320Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E MLU TO
45 SSW GLH TO 20 SW GLH TO 20 NNW GLH TO 45 N GLH TO 60 SW MEM TO
45 SW MEM.
..LYONS..05/02/21
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-047-057-063-065-075-091-105-107-119-125-030040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB DALLAS FAYETTE
GREENE HALE LAMAR
MARENGO PERRY PICKENS
SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
$$
LAC065-107-030040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
MADISON TENSAS
$$
MSC007-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-043-049-051-053-055-
063-069-075-079-083-087-089-095-097-099-101-103-105-119-121-123-
125-133-135-149-151-155-159-161-163-030040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CALHOUN
CARROLL CHICKASAW CHOCTAW
CLAIBORNE CLAY COAHOMA
COPIAH GRENADA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
JEFFERSON KEMPER LAUDERDALE
LEAKE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MADISON MONROE MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA QUITMAN RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WINSTON YALOBUSHA
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.