Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 71
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 31 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
Western Florida Panhandle
Southwest Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 315 PM
until 700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...QLCS with an embedded bowing segment should spread
east-southeast across the rest of southern Alabama into a portion of
southwest Georgia and the western Florida Panhandle before
weakening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30
statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles southwest of
Mobile AL to 75 miles east northeast of Dothan AL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 70...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 71 SEVERE TSTM AL FL GA CW 312015Z - 010000Z
AXIS..30 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
10SW MOB/MOBILE AL/ - 75ENE DHN/DOTHAN AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 25NM N/S /9S SJI - 4NNE PZD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 31018837 32168427 31308427 30148837
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 71 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 71
VALID 010000Z - 310000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW PNS TO
15 SE CEW TO 10 WNW MAI TO 20 SSE ABY.
WW 71 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 310000Z.
..MOORE..03/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 71
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC091-310000-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OKALOOSA
$$
GMZ635-310000-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 71
VALID 312330Z - 010040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE MOB
TO 10 WNW PNS TO 25 ENE CEW TO 15 SSE DHN TO 35 WSW ABY TO 20 ENE
ABY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 312
..MOORE..03/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 71
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC069-010040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
FLC059-091-131-010040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOLMES OKALOOSA WALTON
$$
GAC007-201-010040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER MILLER
$$
GMZ633-634-635-010040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 71
VALID 312300Z - 010040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW MOB TO
30 WNW PNS TO 20 NNE CEW TO 15 ENE DHN TO 25 NNE ABY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 311
..MOORE..03/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 71
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC061-069-010040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GENEVA HOUSTON
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-010040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
GAC007-037-095-099-201-010040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN DOUGHERTY
EARLY MILLER
$$
GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-010040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 71
VALID 312235Z - 312340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW MOB
TO 30 NW PNS TO 25 NNE CEW TO 15 WNW DHN TO 40 WNW ABY TO 15 WNW
ABY TO 20 ENE ABY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 311
..MOORE..03/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 71
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-045-061-067-069-312340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-312340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
GAC007-037-061-095-099-201-243-312340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN CLAY
DOUGHERTY EARLY MILLER
RANDOLPH
$$
GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-312340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 71
VALID 312135Z - 312240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 311
..MOORE..03/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 71
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-031-039-045-053-061-067-069-097-312240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN COFFEE COVINGTON
DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON MOBILE
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-312240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
GAC007-037-061-095-099-177-201-239-243-273-312240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN CLAY
DOUGHERTY EARLY LEE
MILLER QUITMAN RANDOLPH
TERRELL
$$
GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-312240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.