Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 69
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
505 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Eastern Maryland
Southern New Jersey
Extreme southeastern Pennsylvania
Northeastern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 505 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A narrow band of shallow convection along a cold front
will likely persist while moving eastward from Maryland and Virginia
into New Jersey and Delaware the remainder of this afternoon into
this evening. A few damaging gusts will be the main threat, though
a brief tornado with embedded circulations cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles north of
Philadelphia PA to 50 miles south southwest of Dover DE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 68...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
27040.
...Thompson
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 69
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
505 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Eastern Maryland
Southern New Jersey
Extreme southeastern Pennsylvania
Northeastern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 505 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A narrow band of shallow convection along a cold front
will likely persist while moving eastward from Maryland and Virginia
into New Jersey and Delaware the remainder of this afternoon into
this evening. A few damaging gusts will be the main threat, though
a brief tornado with embedded circulations cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles north of
Philadelphia PA to 50 miles south southwest of Dover DE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 68...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
27040.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 69 SEVERE TSTM DC DE MD NJ PA VA CW 282105Z - 290100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10N PHL/PHILADELPHIA PA/ - 50SSW DOV/DOVER DE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /39WNW CYN - 16WNW SBY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.
LAT...LON 40007393 38457453 38457712 40007657
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 69 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 69
VALID 290025Z - 290140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE NHK TO
20 NNE NHK TO 30 NE NHK TO 25 SSE DOV TO 30 SSW ACY TO 10 E ACY
TO 20 ESE NEL TO 10 S JFK.
..JEWELL..03/29/21
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 69
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC005-290140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SUSSEX
$$
ANZ450-451-452-453-454-455-290140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 69
VALID 282330Z - 290040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N RIC TO
25 SSE DCA TO 25 E DCA TO 30 WSW DOV TO 10 NNW DOV TO 15 SSE PHL
TO 20 NNE TTN TO 20 NW EWR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 303
..JEWELL..03/28/21
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 69
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-005-290040-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT SUSSEX
$$
MDC009-011-017-037-041-290040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALVERT CAROLINE CHARLES
ST. MARYS TALBOT
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-021-025-029-033-290040-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
MERCER MONMOUTH OCEAN
SALEM
$$
ANZ431-450-451-452-453-454-455-533-534-536-537-540-541-542-
290040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 69
VALID 282240Z - 282340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E CHO TO
25 SW DCA TO 15 W DCA TO 15 SW BWI TO 15 E BWI TO 20 WSW ILG TO
15 NW ILG TO 15 SW ABE.
..JEWELL..03/28/21
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 69
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-282340-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-282340-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-009-011-015-017-029-033-035-041-282340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CAROLINE
CECIL CHARLES KENT
PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-021-025-029-033-282340-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
MERCER MONMOUTH OCEAN
SALEM
$$
PAC017-029-045-091-101-282340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCKS CHESTER DELAWARE
MONTGOMERY PHILADELPHIA
$$
VAC013-059-179-510-610-282340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARLINGTON FAIRFAX STAFFORD
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA FALLS CHURCH
$$
ANZ430-431-450-451-452-453-454-455-532-533-535-539-540-541-542-
282340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.