Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 61
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
530 PM EDT Sat Mar 27 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern and southern North Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 530 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster with embedded supercells should spread
east-southeast from central North Carolina before decaying across
eastern North Carolina later this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast
of New Bern NC to 30 miles southeast of Fayetteville NC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 59...WW 60...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28035.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 61 SEVERE TSTM NC CW 272130Z - 280200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NNE EWN/NEW BERN NC/ - 30SE FAY/FAYETTEVILLE NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /36SW ECG - 37WNW ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
LAT...LON 35807560 34667744 34667956 35807775
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 61 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 61
VALID 280115Z - 280240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW ILM TO
20 WNW OAJ TO 15 NE OAJ TO 30 NNE EWN TO 35 WNW HSE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 288
..KARSTENS..03/28/21
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 61
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC061-103-133-137-280240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUPLIN JONES ONSLOW
PAMLICO
$$
AMZ136-137-280240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 61
VALID 280025Z - 280140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S FAY TO
25 SSW GSB TO 40 NNW EWN TO 25 WSW ECG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 288
..KARSTENS..03/28/21
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 61
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-049-061-095-103-107-133-137-177-187-280140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CRAVEN DUPLIN
HYDE JONES LENOIR
ONSLOW PAMLICO TYRRELL
WASHINGTON
$$
AMZ136-137-280140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 61
VALID 272340Z - 280040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW SOP TO
30 ENE SOP TO 20 WNW GSB TO 10 NE RWI TO 20 E RZZ.
..KARSTENS..03/27/21
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 61
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-049-051-061-079-093-095-103-107-117-133-137-147-163-165-
177-187-280040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CRAVEN CUMBERLAND
DUPLIN GREENE HOKE
HYDE JONES LENOIR
MARTIN ONSLOW PAMLICO
PITT SAMPSON SCOTLAND
TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
AMZ136-137-280040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 61
VALID 272235Z - 272340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KARSTENS..03/27/21
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 61
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC007-013-049-051-061-079-093-095-103-107-117-133-137-147-153-
163-165-177-187-272340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANSON BEAUFORT CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND DUPLIN GREENE
HOKE HYDE JONES
LENOIR MARTIN ONSLOW
PAMLICO PITT RICHMOND
SAMPSON SCOTLAND TYRRELL
WASHINGTON
$$
AMZ136-137-272340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.