Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 59
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme northern Alabama
Extreme east central Arkansas
Northern Mississippi
Southern parts of western and middle Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...Severe storm development is expected by mid afternoon and
storms will persist well into this evening. The storm environment
favors supercells capable of producing a couple of strong tornadoes
and very large hail near the size of baseballs. As storms cluster
more into the evening, the threat for damaging winds will increase,
including the potential for hurricane force gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
north and south of a line from 105 miles east northeast of Muscle
Shoals AL to 60 miles west of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.
...Thompson
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 59
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme northern Alabama
Extreme east central Arkansas
Northern Mississippi
Southern parts of western and middle Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...Severe storm development is expected by mid afternoon and
storms will persist well into this evening. The storm environment
favors supercells capable of producing a couple of strong tornadoes
and very large hail near the size of baseballs. As storms cluster
more into the evening, the threat for damaging winds will increase,
including the potential for hurricane force gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
north and south of a line from 105 miles east northeast of Muscle
Shoals AL to 60 miles west of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 59 TORNADO AL AR MS TN 271845Z - 280200Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
105ENE MSL/MUSCLE SHOALS AL/ - 60W MEM/MEMPHIS TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /43WNW GQO - 52W MEM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 34748590 34469104 35619104 35908590
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 59 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 59
VALID 272230Z - 272340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..03/27/21
ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-071-077-083-089-272340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT JACKSON LAUDERDALE
LIMESTONE MADISON
$$
ARC035-037-077-093-107-111-123-272340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE
MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-071-093-107-117-119-137-139-141-143-145-
272340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA PRENTISS QUITMAN
TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC003-023-031-039-047-051-055-061-069-071-075-077-081-097-099-
101-103-109-113-117-119-127-135-157-167-181-272340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CHESTER COFFEE
DECATUR FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HICKMAN LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCNAIRY
MADISON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE PERRY SHELBY
TIPTON WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 59
VALID 272150Z - 272240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 282
..KARSTENS..03/27/21
ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-071-077-083-089-272240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT JACKSON LAUDERDALE
LIMESTONE MADISON
$$
ARC035-037-077-093-107-111-123-272240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE
MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-071-093-107-117-119-137-139-141-143-145-
272240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA PRENTISS QUITMAN
TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC003-023-031-039-047-051-055-061-069-071-075-077-081-097-099-
101-103-109-113-117-119-127-135-157-167-181-272240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CHESTER COFFEE
DECATUR FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HICKMAN LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCNAIRY
MADISON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE PERRY SHELBY
TIPTON WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 59
VALID 272100Z - 272240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 282
..GLEASON..03/27/21
ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-071-077-083-089-272240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT JACKSON LAUDERDALE
LIMESTONE MADISON
$$
ARC035-037-077-093-107-111-123-272240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE
MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-071-093-107-117-119-137-139-141-143-145-
272240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA PRENTISS QUITMAN
TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC003-023-031-039-047-051-055-061-069-071-075-077-081-097-099-
101-103-109-113-117-119-127-135-157-167-181-272240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CHESTER COFFEE
DECATUR FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HICKMAN LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCNAIRY
MADISON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE PERRY SHELBY
TIPTON WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 59
VALID 271945Z - 272040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..03/27/21
ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-071-077-083-089-272040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT JACKSON LAUDERDALE
LIMESTONE MADISON
$$
ARC035-037-077-093-107-111-123-272040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE
MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-071-093-107-117-119-137-139-141-143-145-
272040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA PRENTISS QUITMAN
TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC003-023-031-039-047-051-055-061-069-071-075-077-081-097-099-
101-103-109-113-117-119-127-135-157-167-181-272040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CHESTER COFFEE
DECATUR FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HICKMAN LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCNAIRY
MADISON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE PERRY SHELBY
TIPTON WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (70%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.