Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 23
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 PM CDT Tue Mar 16 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and North-Central Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1025 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop and intensify along
a cold front pushing into west Texas. These storms will sweep
eastward overnight across the watch area, posing a risk of damaging
winds and hail. Isolated tornadoes are also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles west southwest
of Junction TX to 50 miles north northeast of Mineral Wells TX. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 22...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Hart
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 23
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 PM CDT Tue Mar 16 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and North-Central Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1025 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop and intensify along
a cold front pushing into west Texas. These storms will sweep
eastward overnight across the watch area, posing a risk of damaging
winds and hail. Isolated tornadoes are also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles west southwest
of Junction TX to 50 miles north northeast of Mineral Wells TX. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 22...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 23 SEVERE TSTM TX 170325Z - 171000Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25WSW JCT/JUNCTION TX/ - 50NNE MWL/MINERAL WELLS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /22SW JCT - 49NW TTT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 30370192 33439956 33439592 30379840
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 23 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 23
VALID 170945Z - 171040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW TPL
TO 20 WSW ACT TO 35 N ACT TO 25 SSW FTW TO 20 SSW ADM.
..GLEASON..03/17/21
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 23
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-097-099-113-121-139-217-251-309-439-171040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL COOKE CORYELL
DALLAS DENTON ELLIS
HILL JOHNSON MCLENNAN
TARRANT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 23
VALID 170830Z - 170940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW JCT
TO 25 ENE JCT TO 45 S BWD TO 30 SSW SEP TO 25 NW SEP TO 35 SE SPS.
..GLEASON..03/17/21
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 23
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-093-097-099-113-121-139-143-193-217-221-237-251-267-
281-309-319-333-337-363-367-411-425-439-497-170940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE COMANCHE
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DENTON ELLIS ERATH
HAMILTON HILL HOOD
JACK JOHNSON KIMBLE
LAMPASAS MCLENNAN MASON
MILLS MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER SAN SABA SOMERVELL
TARRANT WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 23
VALID 170745Z - 170840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE 6R6
TO 25 NNW JCT TO 30 SSW BWD TO 10 W BWD TO 35 E ABI TO 30 SW SPS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 192
..GLEASON..03/17/21
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 23
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-093-097-099-113-121-133-139-143-193-217-221-237-
251-267-281-307-309-319-327-333-337-363-367-411-425-429-435-439-
497-503-170840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
COMANCHE COOKE CORYELL
DALLAS DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH HAMILTON
HILL HOOD JACK
JOHNSON KIMBLE LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MASON
MENARD MILLS MONTAGUE
PALO PINTO PARKER SAN SABA
SOMERVELL STEPHENS SUTTON
TARRANT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 23
VALID 170640Z - 170740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE 6R6
TO 15 E SJT TO 20 WSW ABI TO 70 NNW ABI.
..GLEASON..03/17/21
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 23
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-059-083-093-095-097-099-105-113-121-133-139-143-
193-207-217-221-237-251-253-267-281-307-309-319-327-333-337-363-
367-399-411-413-417-425-429-435-439-441-447-451-497-503-
170740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO COOKE CORYELL
CROCKETT DALLAS DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
HAMILTON HASKELL HILL
HOOD JACK JOHNSON
JONES KIMBLE LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MASON
MENARD MILLS MONTAGUE
PALO PINTO PARKER RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD
SOMERVELL STEPHENS SUTTON
TARRANT TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 23
VALID 170550Z - 170640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE 6R6
TO 25 WNW SJT TO 55 NNW ABI.
..GLEASON..03/17/21
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 23
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-059-081-083-093-095-097-099-105-113-121-133-139-
143-151-193-207-217-221-235-237-251-253-267-281-307-309-319-327-
333-337-353-363-367-399-411-413-417-425-429-435-439-441-447-451-
497-503-170640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
COMANCHE CONCHO COOKE
CORYELL CROCKETT DALLAS
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FISHER HAMILTON
HASKELL HILL HOOD
IRION JACK JOHNSON
JONES KIMBLE LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MASON
MENARD MILLS MONTAGUE
NOLAN PALO PINTO PARKER
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL STEPHENS
SUTTON TARRANT TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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