Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 13
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
220 PM CST Sun Feb 28 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Arkansas
Southwest Kentucky
Missouri Bootheel
Northern Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop across the watch
area through the afternoon and evening hours - with a few intense
thunderstorms expected. Damaging winds are the most likely threat,
but large hail and a few tornadoes are also possible from the most
organized storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of Hot Springs AR
to 15 miles east northeast of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 12...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Hart
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 13
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
220 PM CST Sun Feb 28 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Arkansas
Southwest Kentucky
Missouri Bootheel
Northern Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop across the watch
area through the afternoon and evening hours - with a few intense
thunderstorms expected. Damaging winds are the most likely threat,
but large hail and a few tornadoes are also possible from the most
organized storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of Hot Springs AR
to 15 miles east northeast of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 12...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 13 TORNADO AR KY MO MS TN 282020Z - 010400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SW HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/ - 15ENE BNA/NASHVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /58NE TXK - 13ENE BNA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 35139335 37088643 35348643 33409335
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 13 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 13
VALID 010345Z - 010440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE TXK
TO 40 NW ELD TO 5 ENE PBF TO 45 E PBF TO 50 NNW GWO TO 35 WNW MSL
TO 50 WSW BNA TO 30 NE BNA.
..BROYLES..03/01/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-041-043-079-103-010440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN DESHA
DREW LINCOLN OUACHITA
$$
TNC055-099-101-117-119-181-187-010440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GILES LAWRENCE LEWIS
MARSHALL MAURY WAYNE
WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 13
VALID 010225Z - 010340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE TXK
TO 30 ESE PBF TO 45 W UOX TO 20 SE MEM TO 25 S MKL TO 50 E MKL TO
5 SW BNA TO 25 SSE BWG.
..BENTLEY..03/01/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-041-043-079-103-010340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN DESHA
DREW LINCOLN OUACHITA
$$
MSC003-009-027-071-093-107-119-139-010340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
LAFAYETTE MARSHALL PANOLA
QUITMAN TIPPAH
$$
TNC037-039-055-069-071-081-099-101-109-117-119-135-165-181-187-
010340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAVIDSON DECATUR GILES
HARDEMAN HARDIN HICKMAN
LAWRENCE LEWIS MCNAIRY
MARSHALL MAURY PERRY
SUMNER WAYNE WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 13
VALID 010105Z - 010240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE TXK TO
30 WSW PBF TO 30 ENE PBF TO 45 WSW MEM TO 30 NE MEM TO 5 NE MKL
TO 45 ENE MKL TO 20 SSW CKV TO 10 E CKV TO 15 SW BWG TO 20 NE BWG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 140
..BENTLEY..03/01/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-019-025-039-041-043-079-103-107-010240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLARK CLEVELAND DALLAS
DESHA DREW LINCOLN
OUACHITA PHILLIPS
$$
KYC003-213-227-010240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN SIMPSON WARREN
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-071-093-107-119-137-139-143-010240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA QUITMAN TATE
TIPPAH TUNICA
$$
TNC021-023-037-039-043-047-055-069-071-077-081-083-085-099-101-
109-113-117-119-125-135-147-157-165-181-187-010240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEATHAM CHESTER DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON FAYETTE
GILES HARDEMAN HARDIN
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE LEWIS
MCNAIRY MADISON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY PERRY
ROBERTSON SHELBY SUMNER
WAYNE WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 13
VALID 010005Z - 010140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW HOT TO
25 SE HOT TO 25 ESE LIT TO 55 W MEM TO 30 NW MEM TO 20 SSW DYR TO
20 NNW MKL TO 45 NNE MKL TO 35 WSW HOP TO 25 NW HOP.
..BENTLEY..03/01/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-019-025-035-039-041-043-053-069-077-079-085-095-
103-107-123-010140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLARK CLEVELAND CRITTENDEN
DALLAS DESHA DREW
GRANT JEFFERSON LEE
LINCOLN LONOKE MONROE
OUACHITA PHILLIPS ST. FRANCIS
$$
KYC003-047-141-213-219-221-227-010140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHRISTIAN LOGAN
SIMPSON TODD TRIGG
WARREN
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-071-093-107-119-137-139-143-010140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA QUITMAN TATE
TIPPAH TUNICA
$$
TNC005-017-021-023-033-037-039-043-047-055-069-071-075-077-079-
081-083-085-097-099-101-109-113-117-119-125-135-147-157-161-165-
167-181-187-010140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CROCKETT DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON FAYETTE
GILES HARDEMAN HARDIN
HAYWOOD HENDERSON HENRY
HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEWIS
MCNAIRY MADISON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY PERRY
ROBERTSON SHELBY STEWART
SUMNER TIPTON WAYNE
WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 13
VALID 282300Z - 010040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW HOT TO
10 ESE HOT TO 5 ESE LIT TO 45 SSE BVX TO 30 SSW JBR TO 10 S JBR
TO 30 E JBR TO 15 WNW DYR TO 40 NNE DYR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 138
..BENTLEY..02/28/21
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-019-025-035-037-039-041-043-053-059-069-077-079-
085-093-095-103-107-111-117-123-147-010040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLARK CLEVELAND CRITTENDEN
CROSS DALLAS DESHA
DREW GRANT HOT SPRING
JEFFERSON LEE LINCOLN
LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE
OUACHITA PHILLIPS POINSETT
PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS WOODRUFF
$$
KYC003-035-047-075-083-105-141-213-219-221-227-010040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
LOGAN SIMPSON TODD
TRIGG WARREN
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-071-093-107-119-137-139-143-010040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA QUITMAN TATE
TIPPAH TUNICA
$$
TNC005-017-021-023-033-037-039-043-045-047-053-055-069-071-075-
077-079-081-083-085-097-099-101-109-113-117-119-125-131-135-147-
157-161-165-167-181-183-187-010040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CROCKETT DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON GILES
HARDEMAN HARDIN HAYWOOD
HENDERSON HENRY HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEWIS MCNAIRY
MADISON MARSHALL MAURY
MONTGOMERY OBION PERRY
ROBERTSON SHELBY STEWART
SUMNER TIPTON WAYNE
WEAKLEY WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.