Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 11
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 AM EST Thu Feb 18 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Florida Panhandle
Southern Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 845 AM until
400 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to intensify today with some of
the stronger storms potentially capable of an isolated risk for
damaging gusts and possibly a couple of tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 75 miles northeast of Albany GA to 30
miles south southwest of Apalachicola FL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 10...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.
...Smith/Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 11 TORNADO FL GA CW 181345Z - 182100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
75NE ABY/ALBANY GA/ - 30SSW AAF/APALACHICOLA FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /30SE MCN - 86SSW TLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 32298226 29338422 29338622 32298432
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 11 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 11
VALID 182020Z - 182140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S AAF TO
20 S ABY TO 50 ENE ABY TO 30 SSW VDI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 123
..DIAL..02/18/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC065-073-079-123-129-182140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON LEON MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC019-027-071-075-131-155-173-185-275-277-182140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BROOKS COLQUITT
COOK GRADY IRWIN
LANIER LOWNDES THOMAS
TIFT
$$
GMZ730-755-765-775-182140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 11
VALID 181820Z - 181940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW AAF
TO 30 SSW ABY TO 50 ENE ABY TO 30 SSW VDI.
..DIAL..02/18/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-039-065-073-077-079-123-129-181940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC003-017-019-027-069-071-075-131-155-161-173-185-205-275-277-
321-181940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATKINSON BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK GRADY IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS LANIER LOWNDES
MITCHELL THOMAS TIFT
WORTH
$$
GMZ730-755-765-772-775-181940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 11
VALID 181710Z - 181840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW AAF
TO 35 NNE MAI TO 40 SE MCN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 121
..DIAL..02/18/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC013-037-039-045-065-073-077-079-123-129-181840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR
WAKULLA
$$
GAC003-007-017-019-027-069-071-075-081-087-091-095-131-155-161-
173-185-201-205-209-253-271-275-277-279-287-309-315-321-
181840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATKINSON BAKER BEN HILL
BERRIEN BROOKS COFFEE
COLQUITT COOK CRISP
DECATUR DODGE DOUGHERTY
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LOWNDES MILLER
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY SEMINOLE
TELFAIR THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TURNER WHEELER
WILCOX WORTH
$$
GMZ730-752-755-765-772-775-181840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 11
VALID 181600Z - 181740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N MAI TO
15 WNW ABY TO 30 NNE ABY TO 35 SE MCN.
..DIAL..02/18/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-181740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC003-007-017-019-027-069-071-075-081-087-091-095-131-155-161-
173-185-201-205-209-253-271-275-277-279-287-309-315-321-
181740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATKINSON BAKER BEN HILL
BERRIEN BROOKS COFFEE
COLQUITT COOK CRISP
DECATUR DODGE DOUGHERTY
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LOWNDES MILLER
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY SEMINOLE
TELFAIR THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TURNER WHEELER
WILCOX WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-181740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH FROM 20
TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 11
VALID 181505Z - 181640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..02/18/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-123-129-181640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF JACKSON
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC003-007-017-019-027-037-069-071-075-081-087-091-093-095-099-
131-155-161-173-177-185-201-205-209-235-253-261-271-273-275-277-
279-287-309-315-321-181640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATKINSON BAKER BEN HILL
BERRIEN BROOKS CALHOUN
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MILLER MITCHELL MONTGOMERY
PULASKI SEMINOLE SUMTER
TELFAIR TERRELL THOMAS
TIFT TOOMBS TURNER
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-181640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH FROM 20
TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.