Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 10
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme southeastern Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Southwestern Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday morning from 150 AM until 800 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A severe-thunderstorm threat, including damaging gusts and
a couple tornadoes possible, will spread inland across the watch
area near and south of a warm front, through early morning.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
either side of a line from 25 miles southwest of Panama City FL to
50 miles north of Tallahassee FL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.
...Edwards
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 10
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme southeastern Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Southwestern Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday morning from 150 AM until 800 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A severe-thunderstorm threat, including damaging gusts and
a couple tornadoes possible, will spread inland across the watch
area near and south of a warm front, through early morning.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
either side of a line from 25 miles southwest of Panama City FL to
50 miles north of Tallahassee FL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 10 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 180750Z - 181400Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
25SW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/ - 50N TLH/TALLAHASSEE FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /64SE CEW - 32S PZD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 30638649 31798487 30468384 29308547
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 10 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 10
VALID 181205Z - 181300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW PFN
TO 30 WSW DHN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 116
..SMITH..02/18/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC061-069-181300-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GENEVA HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-073-077-129-133-181300-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-087-099-131-201-205-253-181300-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN DECATUR
EARLY GRADY MILLER
MITCHELL SEMINOLE
$$
GMZ750-752-755-770-772-181300-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH FROM 20
TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 10
VALID 181105Z - 181200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W PFN TO
25 SW DHN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 116
..SMITH..02/18/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC061-069-181200-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GENEVA HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-073-077-129-131-133-181200-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-087-099-131-201-205-253-181200-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN DECATUR
EARLY GRADY MILLER
MITCHELL SEMINOLE
$$
GMZ750-752-755-770-772-181200-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH FROM 20
TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 10
VALID 181005Z - 181100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE CEW
TO 20 ENE CEW.
..SMITH..02/18/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC061-069-181100-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GENEVA HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-073-077-129-131-133-181100-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-087-099-131-201-205-253-181100-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN DECATUR
EARLY GRADY MILLER
MITCHELL SEMINOLE
$$
GMZ636-655-750-752-755-770-772-181100-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH FROM 20
TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 10
VALID 180810Z - 181000Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..02/18/21
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC061-069-181000-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GENEVA HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-073-077-091-129-131-133-181000-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON LEON LIBERTY
OKALOOSA WAKULLA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-087-099-131-201-205-253-181000-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN DECATUR
EARLY GRADY MILLER
MITCHELL SEMINOLE
$$
GMZ635-636-655-750-752-755-770-772-181000-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH FROM 20
TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM MEXICO BEACH TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.