Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 8
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North Florida
Southern Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms are possible. One
regime should emanate northeast across north Florida with a primary
risk for a couple tornadoes and locally damaging winds. The second
regime should spread east-northeast from southeast Alabama and the
Florida Panhandle with a few tornadoes and damaging winds as the
primary hazards.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles northeast of Albany GA to 25
miles west southwest of Gainesville FL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 7...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 8 TORNADO FL GA CW 152000Z - 160300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NE ABY/ALBANY GA/ - 25WSW GNV/GAINESVILLE FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /39S MCN - 21E CTY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 32048257 29548166 29548365 32048462
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 8 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #8 ON WW 8
VALID 160240Z - 160300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW GNV
TO 30 SSW JAX.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 8 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
16/03Z.
..KERR..02/16/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-035-107-109-160300-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA FLAGLER PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS
$$
AMZ452-454-160300-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 8
VALID 160130Z - 160240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW GNV
TO 25 WNW JAX.
..KERR..02/16/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-007-019-031-035-041-089-107-109-125-160240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BRADFORD CLAY
DUVAL FLAGLER GILCHRIST
NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
UNION
$$
GAC025-039-160240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY CAMDEN
$$
AMZ452-454-160240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 8
VALID 160105Z - 160240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE CTY TO
40 S AYS TO 10 NNE AYS.
..KERR..02/16/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-019-023-031-035-041-089-107-109-125-160240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CLAY COLUMBIA DUVAL
FLAGLER GILCHRIST NASSAU
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS UNION
$$
GAC025-039-049-229-160240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
PIERCE
$$
AMZ452-454-160240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 8
VALID 160100Z - 160240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE CTY TO
40 S AYS TO 10 NNE AYS.
..KERR..02/16/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-019-023-031-035-041-089-107-109-125-160240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CLAY COLUMBIA DUVAL
FLAGLER GILCHRIST NASSAU
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS UNION
$$
GAC025-039-049-229-160240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
PIERCE
$$
AMZ452-454-160240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 8
VALID 152340Z - 160040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W CTY TO
35 SSW VLD TO 15 ESE MGR TO 25 NNE MGR TO 55 SSE MCN TO 45 W VDI.
..LYONS..02/15/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-067-089-107-109-121-
125-160040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CLAY COLUMBIA DIXIE
DUVAL FLAGLER GILCHRIST
HAMILTON LAFAYETTE NASSAU
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE
UNION
$$
GAC003-005-017-019-025-039-049-065-069-091-101-155-161-173-185-
209-229-271-277-299-309-160040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATKINSON BACON BEN HILL
BERRIEN BRANTLEY CAMDEN
CHARLTON CLINCH COFFEE
DODGE ECHOLS IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS LANIER LOWNDES
MONTGOMERY PIERCE TELFAIR
TIFT WARE WHEELER
$$
AMZ452-454-160040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 8
VALID 152230Z - 152340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW ABY TO
35 NNE ABY TO 35 S MCN TO 25 SSE MCN TO 20 E MCN.
..LYONS..02/15/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-065-067-079-089-107-
109-121-123-125-152340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CLAY COLUMBIA DIXIE
DUVAL FLAGLER GILCHRIST
HAMILTON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
MADISON NASSAU PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION
$$
GAC003-005-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-071-075-081-091-093-
101-155-161-173-177-185-209-229-235-271-275-277-287-299-309-315-
321-152340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATKINSON BACON BEN HILL
BERRIEN BRANTLEY BROOKS
CAMDEN CHARLTON CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DODGE DOOLY
ECHOLS IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MONTGOMERY PIERCE PULASKI
TELFAIR THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WARE WHEELER
WILCOX WORTH
$$
AMZ452-454-152340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 8
VALID 152115Z - 152240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 94
..LYONS..02/15/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-065-067-079-089-107-
109-121-123-125-152240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CLAY COLUMBIA DIXIE
DUVAL FLAGLER GILCHRIST
HAMILTON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
MADISON NASSAU PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION
$$
GAC003-005-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-071-075-081-091-093-
101-155-161-173-177-185-209-229-235-243-261-271-273-275-277-287-
299-307-309-315-321-152240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATKINSON BACON BEN HILL
BERRIEN BRANTLEY BROOKS
CAMDEN CHARLTON CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DODGE DOOLY
ECHOLS IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MONTGOMERY PIERCE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SUMTER TELFAIR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WARE WEBSTER
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
AMZ452-454-152240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 8
VALID 152030Z - 152140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 92
..LYONS..02/15/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-065-067-079-089-107-
109-121-123-125-152140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CLAY COLUMBIA DIXIE
DUVAL FLAGLER GILCHRIST
HAMILTON JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
MADISON NASSAU PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION
$$
GAC003-005-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-071-075-081-091-093-
101-155-161-173-177-185-209-229-235-243-261-271-273-275-277-287-
299-307-309-315-321-152140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATKINSON BACON BEN HILL
BERRIEN BRANTLEY BROOKS
CAMDEN CHARLTON CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DODGE DOOLY
ECHOLS IRWIN JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MONTGOMERY PIERCE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SUMTER TELFAIR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WARE WEBSTER
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
AMZ452-454-152140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.