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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 166
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM NOON UNTIL 700
PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
BROKEN BOW NEBRASKA TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF OMAHA NEBRASKA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL KS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND INTO CENTRAL/EASTERN
NEB THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM/MOIST
ADVECTION AND A WEAK CAP MAY RESULT IN OTHER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LOW LEVEL VERTICAL
SHEAR IS VERY IMPRESSIVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING...SUGGESTING
AND INCREASING RISK OF SURFACE-BASED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF STRONG
TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 166 TORNADO NE 141700Z - 150000Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25SSW BBW/BROKEN BOW NE/ - 10S OMA/OMAHA NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /41E LBF - 7W OVR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 42189980 42249590 40069590 40009980
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 166 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 166
VALID 142235Z - 142340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE ANW TO
20 WNW OLU TO 25 ESE TQE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 532
..HURLBUT..04/14/12
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-129-137-145-155-142340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT MILLS MONTGOMERY
PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE
$$
NEC001-019-023-025-035-047-055-059-061-065-067-073-077-079-081-
083-093-095-097-099-109-121-125-127-129-131-133-137-143-147-151-
153-155-159-163-169-175-181-185-142340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO BUTLER
CASS CLAY DAWSON
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
FURNAS GAGE GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KEARNEY LANCASTER
MERRICK NANCE NEMAHA
NUCKOLLS OTOE PAWNEE
PHELPS POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN THAYER
VALLEY WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 166
VALID 142125Z - 142240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..04/14/12
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-133-137-145-155-165-142240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONONA MONTGOMERY PAGE
POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY
$$
NEC001-003-011-019-021-023-025-035-037-039-047-053-055-059-061-
065-067-073-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-099-109-119-121-125-127-
129-131-133-137-139-141-143-147-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-
175-177-179-181-185-142240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CLAY COLFAX
CUMING DAWSON DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
FURNAS GAGE GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KEARNEY LANCASTER
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 166
VALID 142035Z - 142140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..04/14/12
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-133-137-145-155-165-142140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONONA MONTGOMERY PAGE
POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY
$$
NEC001-003-011-019-021-023-025-035-037-039-047-053-055-059-061-
065-067-073-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-099-109-119-121-125-127-
129-131-133-137-139-141-143-147-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-
175-177-179-181-185-142140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CLAY COLFAX
CUMING DAWSON DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
FURNAS GAGE GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KEARNEY LANCASTER
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 166
VALID 141935Z - 142040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..04/14/12
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-133-137-145-155-165-142040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONONA MONTGOMERY PAGE
POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY
$$
NEC001-003-011-019-021-023-025-035-037-039-047-053-055-059-061-
065-067-073-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-099-109-119-121-125-127-
129-131-133-137-139-141-143-147-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-
175-177-179-181-185-142040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CLAY COLFAX
CUMING DAWSON DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
FURNAS GAGE GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KEARNEY LANCASTER
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 166
VALID 141900Z - 142040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..04/14/12
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC001-003-011-019-021-023-025-035-037-039-047-053-055-059-061-
065-067-073-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-099-109-119-121-125-127-
129-131-133-137-139-141-143-147-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-
175-177-179-181-185-142040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CLAY COLFAX
CUMING DAWSON DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
FURNAS GAGE GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KEARNEY LANCASTER
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (80%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
