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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 358
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN COLORADO
WESTERN KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTH OF LAMAR
COLORADO TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF RUSSELL KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 354...WW 355...WW
356...WW 357...
DISCUSSION...DEEP-LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO NEGATIVELY
TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMERGING INTO THE HIGH PLAINS WILL SUPPORT A
CONTINUED INCREASE IN STORMS COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EVENING. STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY
LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S WILL YIELD A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH PRONOUNCED
VEERING OF WINDS WITH HEIGHT...SETUP WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 358 TORNADO CO KS 241825Z - 250300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
5N LAA/LAMAR CO/ - 60S RSL/RUSSELL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /3S LAA - 61WNW ICT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.
LAT...LON 39290268 39159881 36839881 36970268
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 358 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 358
VALID 250050Z - 250140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S RSL TO
25 WSW RSL TO 25 ESE HLC.
..GARNER..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-051-151-165-185-250140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER ELLIS PRATT
RUSH STAFFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 358
VALID 250015Z - 250140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W AVK TO
20 NW P28 TO 50 S RSL TO 25 WSW RSL TO 30 SE HLC TO 15 ESE HLC.
..DEAN..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-051-151-165-185-250140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER ELLIS PRATT
RUSH STAFFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 358
VALID 242145Z - 242240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N GAG TO
45 SSW DDC TO 25 NNE LBL TO 50 W GCK TO 35 ENE LAA TO 30 S ITR TO
25 SW ITR TO 25 SE LIC.
..DEAN..05/24/11
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC063-242240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KIT CARSON
$$
KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-065-069-071-081-083-093-097-
101-109-119-135-145-151-165-171-179-181-185-193-195-199-203-
242240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRAY GREELEY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA
LANE LOGAN MEADE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH SCOTT SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STAFFORD THOMAS
TREGO WALLACE WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 358
VALID 242055Z - 242140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/24/11
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-017-061-063-099-242140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA CHEYENNE KIOWA
KIT CARSON PROWERS
$$
KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-083-
093-097-101-109-119-129-135-145-151-165-171-175-179-181-185-187-
189-193-195-199-203-242140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRANT GRAY GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
LOGAN MEADE MORTON
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
SHERIDAN SHERMAN STAFFORD
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
TREGO WALLACE WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 358
VALID 242015Z - 242140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/24/11
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-017-061-063-099-242140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA CHEYENNE KIOWA
KIT CARSON PROWERS
$$
KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-083-
093-097-101-109-119-129-135-145-151-165-171-175-179-181-185-187-
189-193-195-199-203-242140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRANT GRAY GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
LOGAN MEADE MORTON
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
SHERIDAN SHERMAN STAFFORD
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
TREGO WALLACE WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
