Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 202
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN OHIO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF ZANESVILLE OHIO TO 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF
WILLIAMSPORT PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 200...WW 201...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN OH AND WESTERN PA...ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A WEAK BOUNDARY. STRONG DAYTIME HEATING AND MOISTENING HAS
RESULTED IN A CORRIDOR OF MODERATE CAPE...WITH SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR FOR STORM ORGANIZATION/SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 202 SEVERE TSTM OH PA WV 251845Z - 260200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25NNW ZZV/ZANESVILLE OH/ - 15NE IPT/WILLIAMSPORT PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /25ENE APE - 57E SLT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 41088208 42207672 40617672 39498208
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 202 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 202
VALID 260140Z - 260200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W CXY TO
20 WNW UNV TO 45 ENE BFD.
WW 202 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 260200Z.
..ROGERS..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
PAC027-035-037-067-081-087-093-097-105-109-113-117-119-260200-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CENTRE CLINTON COLUMBIA
JUNIATA LYCOMING MIFFLIN
MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND POTTER
SNYDER SULLIVAN TIOGA
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 202
VALID 260040Z - 260140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE LBE
TO 20 NE BFD.
..ROGERS..04/26/11
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
PAC009-013-021-023-027-033-035-037-047-061-067-081-087-093-097-
105-109-111-113-117-119-260140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BLAIR CAMBRIA
CAMERON CENTRE CLEARFIELD
CLINTON COLUMBIA ELK
HUNTINGDON JUNIATA LYCOMING
MIFFLIN MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND
POTTER SNYDER SOMERSET
SULLIVAN TIOGA UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 202
VALID 252335Z - 260040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N MGW TO
25 NE FKL.
..ROGERS..04/25/11
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
PAC005-009-013-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-047-051-061-063-065-
067-081-083-087-093-097-105-109-111-113-117-119-123-129-
260040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BEDFORD BLAIR
CAMBRIA CAMERON CENTRE
CLARION CLEARFIELD CLINTON
COLUMBIA ELK FAYETTE
HUNTINGDON INDIANA JEFFERSON
JUNIATA LYCOMING MCKEAN
MIFFLIN MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND
POTTER SNYDER SOMERSET
SULLIVAN TIOGA UNION
WARREN WESTMORELAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 202
VALID 252240Z - 252340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 576
..ROGERS..04/25/11
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-075-081-099-111-119-121-133-151-153-
155-157-169-252340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA
COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON
HOLMES JEFFERSON MAHONING
MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE
PORTAGE STARK SUMMIT
TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS WAYNE
$$
PAC003-005-007-009-013-019-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-047-
051-053-059-061-063-065-067-073-081-083-085-087-093-097-105-109-
111-113-117-119-121-123-125-129-252340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BEDFORD BLAIR BUTLER
CAMBRIA CAMERON CENTRE
CLARION CLEARFIELD CLINTON
COLUMBIA CRAWFORD ELK
FAYETTE FOREST GREENE
HUNTINGDON INDIANA JEFFERSON
JUNIATA LAWRENCE LYCOMING
MCKEAN MERCER MIFFLIN
MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND POTTER
SNYDER SOMERSET SULLIVAN
TIOGA UNION VENANGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC009-029-051-069-252340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK MARSHALL
OHIO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 202
VALID 252135Z - 252240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..ROGERS..04/25/11
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-075-081-099-111-119-121-133-151-153-
155-157-169-252240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA
COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON
HOLMES JEFFERSON MAHONING
MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE
PORTAGE STARK SUMMIT
TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS WAYNE
$$
PAC003-005-007-009-013-019-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-047-
051-053-059-061-063-065-067-073-081-083-085-087-093-097-105-109-
111-113-117-119-121-123-125-129-252240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BEDFORD BLAIR BUTLER
CAMBRIA CAMERON CENTRE
CLARION CLEARFIELD CLINTON
COLUMBIA CRAWFORD ELK
FAYETTE FOREST GREENE
HUNTINGDON INDIANA JEFFERSON
JUNIATA LAWRENCE LYCOMING
MCKEAN MERCER MIFFLIN
MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND POTTER
SNYDER SOMERSET SULLIVAN
TIOGA UNION VENANGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC009-029-051-069-252240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK MARSHALL
OHIO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 202
VALID 252035Z - 252140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..04/25/11
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-075-081-099-111-119-121-133-151-153-
155-157-169-252140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA
COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON
HOLMES JEFFERSON MAHONING
MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE
PORTAGE STARK SUMMIT
TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS WAYNE
$$
PAC003-005-007-009-013-019-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-047-
051-053-059-061-063-065-067-073-081-083-085-087-093-097-105-109-
111-113-117-119-121-123-125-129-252140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BEDFORD BLAIR BUTLER
CAMBRIA CAMERON CENTRE
CLARION CLEARFIELD CLINTON
COLUMBIA CRAWFORD ELK
FAYETTE FOREST GREENE
HUNTINGDON INDIANA JEFFERSON
JUNIATA LAWRENCE LYCOMING
MCKEAN MERCER MIFFLIN
MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND POTTER
SNYDER SOMERSET SULLIVAN
TIOGA UNION VENANGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC009-029-051-069-252140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK MARSHALL
OHIO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 202
VALID 251930Z - 252040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..04/25/11
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-075-081-099-111-119-121-133-151-153-
155-157-169-252040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA
COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON
HOLMES JEFFERSON MAHONING
MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE
PORTAGE STARK SUMMIT
TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS WAYNE
$$
PAC003-005-007-009-013-019-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-047-
051-053-059-061-063-065-067-073-081-083-085-087-093-097-105-109-
111-113-117-119-121-123-125-129-252040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BEDFORD BLAIR BUTLER
CAMBRIA CAMERON CENTRE
CLARION CLEARFIELD CLINTON
COLUMBIA CRAWFORD ELK
FAYETTE FOREST GREENE
HUNTINGDON INDIANA JEFFERSON
JUNIATA LAWRENCE LYCOMING
MCKEAN MERCER MIFFLIN
MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND POTTER
SNYDER SOMERSET SULLIVAN
TIOGA UNION VENANGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC009-029-051-069-252040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK MARSHALL
OHIO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.