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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 147
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM CDT MON MAY 10 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
FORT SILL OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF WICHITA KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 146...
DISCUSSION...AN DANGEROUS ENVIRONMENT IS DEVELOPING ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHERN KS AND WESTERN/CENTRAL OK THIS AFTERNOON AS AIRMASS RAPIDLY
DESTABILIZES AND UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO INITIALLY DEVELOP ALONG THE SURFACE DRYLINE OVER WESTERN
OK...THEN PROGRESSING EASTWARD THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY WITH THE
THREAT OF STRONG AND LONG-TRACK TORNADOES. VERY LARGE HAIL IS ALSO
LIKELY IN THE STRONGER CELLS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 147 TORNADO KS OK 101825Z - 110300Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SSE FSI/FORT SILL OK/ - 25NNE ICT/WICHITA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /24ENE SPS - 21NE ICT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.
LAT...LON 34099979 37979900 37979551 34099647
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 147 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 147
VALID 110140Z - 110240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW ADM
TO 10 ENE CQB TO 15 NNW BVO.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/11/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 147
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-037-085-099-107-111-133-143-147-110240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CREEK LOVE
MURRAY OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
SEMINOLE TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 147
VALID 110040Z - 110140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE SPS
TO 25 SSE EMP.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/11/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 147
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC019-110140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAUTAUQUA
$$
OKC019-037-049-081-085-099-107-111-113-117-125-133-143-147-
110140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CREEK GARVIN
LINCOLN LOVE MURRAY
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
PAWNEE POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 147
VALID 102355Z - 110040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE SPS TO
30 SW EMP.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/10/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 147
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC019-049-073-110040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAUTAUQUA ELK GREENWOOD
$$
OKC019-027-037-049-067-081-085-087-099-107-109-111-113-117-119-
125-133-137-143-147-110040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLEVELAND CREEK
GARVIN JEFFERSON LINCOLN
LOVE MCCLAIN MURRAY
OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE
OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 147
VALID 102250Z - 102340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW SPS
TO 40 N END TO 10 SE HUT.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/10/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 147
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-019-035-049-073-079-173-191-102340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD HARVEY
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC015-017-019-027-031-033-037-047-049-051-053-067-071-073-081-
083-085-087-099-103-107-109-111-113-117-119-125-133-137-143-147-
102340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CREEK GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MURRAY NOBLE OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TULSA
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 147
VALID 102135Z - 102240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W LTS TO
20 E LTS TO 10 S P28 TO 35 WSW P28.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/10/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 147
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-019-035-049-073-077-079-095-155-173-191-102240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN RENO
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-037-047-049-051-053-067-071-
073-075-081-083-085-087-093-099-103-107-109-111-113-117-119-125-
133-137-141-143-147-102240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CREEK
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT JEFFERSON KAY
KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MAJOR MURRAY NOBLE
OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE
OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TILLMAN TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 147
VALID 102045Z - 102140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/10/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 147
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-019-035-049-073-077-079-095-155-173-191-102140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN RENO
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-037-039-043-047-049-051-053-
067-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-099-103-107-109-111-113-117-
119-125-133-137-141-143-147-149-151-153-102140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CREEK
CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
GARVIN GRADY GRANT
JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN
LOVE MCCLAIN MAJOR
MURRAY NOBLE OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
TULSA WASHINGTON WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 147
VALID 101935Z - 102040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/10/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 147
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-019-035-049-073-077-079-095-155-173-191-102040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN RENO
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-037-039-043-045-047-049-051-
053-059-067-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-099-103-107-109-111-
113-117-119-125-129-133-137-141-143-147-149-151-153-102040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CREEK
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT HARPER JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MURRAY
NOBLE OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA
OKMULGEE OSAGE PAWNEE
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
TULSA WASHINGTON WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (70%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (90%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.