Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 145
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
930 PM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST NEW YORK
PARTS OF EASTERN OHIO
LARGE PART OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
SMALL PART OF WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE
LAKE ERIE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 930 PM
UNTIL 300 AM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
WHEELING WEST VIRGINIA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF JAMESTOWN
NEW YORK. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 143...WW 144...
DISCUSSION...DEEPENING SURFACE LOW TRACKING ACROSS LAKE ERIE TOWARD
BUF WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING SEWD INTO WRN PA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ONGOING NRN OH EXPECTED TO SPREAD/DEVELOP RAPIDLY ENEWD ACROSS
WATCH WHERE VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES ARE IN PLACE. IN ADDITION TO
LARGE HAIL THE MODEST INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A WIND DAMAGE THREAT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26045.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 145 SEVERE TSTM NY OH PA WV LE 080130Z - 080700Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25SW HLG/WHEELING WV/ - 35NNE JHW/JAMESTOWN NY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /9SW AIR - 24SW BUF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26045.
LAT...LON 39918220 42618026 42617770 39917976
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 145 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 145
VALID 080645Z - 080700Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE HLG TO
30 SSW DUJ.
WW 145 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 080700Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 502.
..PETERS..05/08/10
ATTN...WFO...BUF...CLE...PBZ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 145
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
PAC023-033-063-105-117-129-080700-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMERON CLEARFIELD INDIANA
POTTER TIOGA WESTMORELAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 145
VALID 080545Z - 080640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW CAK TO
25 SE FKL TO 25 ENE BFD.
..PETERS..05/08/10
ATTN...WFO...BUF...CLE...PBZ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 145
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-081-119-157-080640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA
COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON
JEFFERSON MUSKINGUM TUSCARAWAS
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-023-031-033-047-063-065-083-105-117-125-129-
080640-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER CAMERON CLARION
CLEARFIELD ELK INDIANA
JEFFERSON MCKEAN POTTER
TIOGA WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC009-029-069-080640-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK OHIO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.