Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 144
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN INDIANA
MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 555 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST OF PADUCAH
KENTUCKY TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF CINCINNATI OHIO. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 143...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ALONG
THE COLD FRONT FROM CENTRAL IND SWWD TO SERN MO. AS DEEPENING
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED STRONG WIND FIELDS APPROACH FROM THE
WEST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE COMMON
ALONG/AHEAD OF EWD MOVING COLD FRONT. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE
HAIL AND AS STORMS DEVELOP INTO LINE SEGMENTS/BOWS WIND DAMAGE WILL
BECOME MORE LIKELY DURING THE EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 144 SEVERE TSTM IL IN KY MO OH 072255Z - 080600Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
30W PAH/PADUCAH KY/ - 40ESE LUK/CINCINNATI OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /57SE FAM - 46E CVG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 37838962 39638405 38118341 36318901
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 144 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 144
VALID 080540Z - 080600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 W HTS TO
35 NNW LEX TO 30 ENE LUK.
WW 144 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 080600Z.
..PETERS..05/08/10
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC023-081-161-191-201-080600-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRACKEN GRANT MASON
PENDLETON ROBERTSON
$$
OHC015-025-080600-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 144
VALID 080435Z - 080540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE HOP TO
15 SSE OWB TO 30 WSW SDF TO 10 NW SDF TO 30 SW LUK TO 40 ENE LUK.
..JEWELL..05/08/10
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC005-015-017-021-023-029-031-037-041-049-061-067-073-077-079-
081-085-087-093-097-099-103-111-113-117-123-141-151-155-161-167-
179-181-187-191-201-209-211-215-217-227-229-239-080540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOONE BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BULLITT
BUTLER CAMPBELL CARROLL
CLARK EDMONSON FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GARRARD
GRANT GRAYSON GREEN
HARDIN HARRISON HART
HENRY JEFFERSON JESSAMINE
KENTON LARUE LOGAN
MADISON MARION MASON
MERCER NELSON NICHOLAS
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER
TAYLOR WARREN WASHINGTON
WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-080540-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 144
VALID 080350Z - 080440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE HOP TO
15 SSE OWB TO 25 WSW SDF TO 15 NNW SDF TO 40 WSW LUK TO 35 NNW
LUK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 499
..JEWELL..05/08/10
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-115-155-080440-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN OHIO SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC005-015-017-021-023-029-031-037-041-049-061-067-073-077-079-
081-085-087-093-097-099-103-111-113-117-123-141-151-155-161-167-
179-181-187-191-201-209-211-215-217-227-229-239-080440-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOONE BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BULLITT
BUTLER CAMPBELL CARROLL
CLARK EDMONSON FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GARRARD
GRANT GRAYSON GREEN
HARDIN HARRISON HART
HENRY JEFFERSON JESSAMINE
KENTON LARUE LOGAN
MADISON MARION MASON
MERCER NELSON NICHOLAS
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER
TAYLOR WARREN WASHINGTON
WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-027-061-165-080440-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT CLINTON
HAMILTON WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 144
VALID 080235Z - 080340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE HOP TO
5 N OWB TO 45 SSW BMG TO 45 N SDF TO 45 WNW LUK.
..JEWELL..05/08/10
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-029-037-043-061-077-115-117-123-137-143-155-175-
080340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DEARBORN
DUBOIS FLOYD HARRISON
JEFFERSON OHIO ORANGE
PERRY RIPLEY SCOTT
SWITZERLAND WASHINGTON
$$
KYC005-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-037-041-049-061-067-073-077-
079-081-085-087-091-093-097-099-103-111-113-117-123-141-151-155-
161-163-167-179-181-183-185-187-191-201-209-211-215-217-223-227-
229-239-080340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOONE BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CAMPBELL
CARROLL CLARK EDMONSON
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN
GARRARD GRANT GRAYSON
GREEN HANCOCK HARDIN
HARRISON HART HENRY
JEFFERSON JESSAMINE KENTON
LARUE LOGAN MADISON
MARION MASON MEADE
MERCER NELSON NICHOLAS
OHIO OLDHAM OWEN
PENDLETON ROBERTSON SCOTT
SHELBY SPENCER TAYLOR
TRIMBLE WARREN WASHINGTON
WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-027-061-165-080340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT CLINTON
HAMILTON WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 144
VALID 080130Z - 080240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE DYR TO
35 E PAH TO 20 W OWB TO 40 NE EVV TO 45 N SDF TO 45 WNW LUK.
..JEWELL..05/08/10
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-029-037-043-061-077-115-117-123-137-143-147-155-175-
080240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DEARBORN
DUBOIS FLOYD HARRISON
JEFFERSON OHIO ORANGE
PERRY RIPLEY SCOTT
SPENCER SWITZERLAND WASHINGTON
$$
KYC005-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-033-035-037-041-047-049-059-
061-067-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-091-093-097-099-103-107-111-
113-117-123-141-143-149-151-155-157-161-163-167-177-179-181-183-
185-187-191-201-209-211-215-217-219-221-223-227-229-233-239-
080240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOONE BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CAMPBELL CARROLL
CHRISTIAN CLARK DAVIESS
EDMONSON FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLATIN GARRARD GRANT
GRAVES GRAYSON GREEN
HANCOCK HARDIN HARRISON
HART HENRY HOPKINS
JEFFERSON JESSAMINE KENTON
LARUE LOGAN LYON
MCLEAN MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MASON MEADE
MERCER MUHLENBERG NELSON
NICHOLAS OHIO OLDHAM
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER
TAYLOR TODD TRIGG
TRIMBLE WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-027-061-165-080240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT CLINTON
HAMILTON WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 144
VALID 080050Z - 080140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE CGI
TO 25 ENE PAH TO 15 SSW EVV TO 45 SSW BMG TO 15 S BMG.
..JEWELL..05/08/10
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-029-037-043-061-077-115-117-123-137-143-147-155-175-
080140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DEARBORN
DUBOIS FLOYD HARRISON
JEFFERSON OHIO ORANGE
PERRY RIPLEY SCOTT
SPENCER SWITZERLAND WASHINGTON
$$
KYC005-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-033-035-037-041-047-049-059-
061-067-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-091-093-097-099-103-107-111-
113-117-123-141-143-149-151-155-157-161-163-167-177-179-181-183-
185-187-191-201-209-211-215-217-219-221-223-227-229-233-239-
080140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOONE BOURBON
BOYLE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CAMPBELL CARROLL
CHRISTIAN CLARK DAVIESS
EDMONSON FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLATIN GARRARD GRANT
GRAVES GRAYSON GREEN
HANCOCK HARDIN HARRISON
HART HENRY HOPKINS
JEFFERSON JESSAMINE KENTON
LARUE LOGAN LYON
MCLEAN MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MASON MEADE
MERCER MUHLENBERG NELSON
NICHOLAS OHIO OLDHAM
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER
TAYLOR TODD TRIGG
TRIMBLE WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-027-061-165-080140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT CLINTON
HAMILTON WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.