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< Day 2 Outlook   Day 4 - 8 Outlook >
Jan 2, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 2 07:55:11 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250102 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20250102 0830Z Day 3 KML)
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Categorical Day3 0830Z Outlook
 
 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 020755

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0155 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible Sunday morning from far
   northwest Texas across central Oklahoma into southeast Kansas.

   ...Synopsis...
   A shortwave trough is forecast to progress quickly eastward across
   the Great Basin and central Rockies on Saturday, likely reaching the
   central/southern Plains by early Sunday morning. Cold mid-level
   temperatures will accompany this shortwave, with strong mid-level
   flow persisting throughout its southern periphery as well. Surface
   cyclogenesis is expected across eastern NM and the TX Panhandle
   ahead of this wave, with the resulting surface low then progressing
   into central OK by early Sunday. 

   Strengthening southerly low-level flow will precede this shortwave
   as well, with notable low-level moisture advection anticipated
   within the warm sector over central/east TX and the Lower MS Valley.
   Even with this increasing low-level moisture, overall buoyancy will
   be mitigated by warm mid-level temperatures, keeping much any
   convection within the warm sector shallow. The only exception will
   be early Sunday morning from far northwest TX across central OK into
   southeast KS. Here, cooling mid-level temperatures atop moistening
   low to mid-levels will support some elevated convection deep enough
   to produce lightning.

   ..Mosier.. 01/02/2025

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
   CURRENT UTC TIME: 1335Z (1:35PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
        
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Page last modified: January 02, 2025
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