Mesoscale Discussion 1598
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0357 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

   Areas affected...portions of central Wisconsin

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 523...

   Valid 132057Z - 132200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 523
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A narrow corridor of focused damaging winds (perhaps
   severe) may accompany a small bowing segment over the next couple of
   hours. Longevity of this bowing complex however is uncertain.

   DISCUSSION...MRMS mosaic radar imagery depicts a small bowing
   complex that has recently materialized over portions of far western
   WI in the past hour. KARX regional radar shows a rear-inflow jet
   present, with inbound velocities approaching 80 kts about 1 km AGL.
   Assuming efficient downward momentum transport, the ongoing complex
   may be producing damaging, perhaps severe gusts in abundance. The
   complex is currently traversing a buoyancy gradient, with MLCAPE
   exceeding 2000 J/kg amid 30+ kts of effective bulk shear. However,
   the ARX VAD profile suggests that vertical wind shear (including
   low-level shear) is not particularly strong, so questions remain
   regarding how long the bow echo complex will last. Nonetheless,
   there is some potential for a continued narrow swath of focused
   damaging winds (perhaps severe, with gusts peaking in the 65-80 mph
   range) over the next couple of hours.

   ..Squitieri.. 07/13/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GRB...ARX...MPX...

   LAT...LON   44629194 44639114 44299028 43948991 43679016 43629065
               43799132 44009181 44309226 44409229 44629194